{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1cb0be4e-2143-4b0a-83e3-1c951b80c848", "symbol": "TCL-A", "name": "Transcontinental Inc.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 95.829, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 50.522, "architecture_energy": 34.144, "architecture_maturity": 52.587, "architecture_confidence": 61.537, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.81, "rotation_up": 37.92, "upward_expansion": 68.48, "deceleration": 73.37, "rotation_down": 26.96, "downward_expansion": 8.81 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.356667, 5.354897, 5.325066, 5.10063 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 5.31, "trend_reference": 4.677553, "distance_from_trend": 0.135209, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2.672426, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.986958, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 21.814369, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.585074, "excess_performance": 0.464653, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.135209, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.189504, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.986958, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.302099, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.218144, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.243389, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.585074, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.358265, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 733000, "relative_activity": 0.264409, "balance": 0.358265, "dry_up": 0.429727, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.060979, "annualized_volatility": 0.699371, "from_high_reference": -0.135179, "from_low_reference": 1.000125 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.677553, "fair_value_reference": 2.672426, "structural_low": 3.268223, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": -0.001809, "positive_rate": 0.48, "directional_follow_through": 0.48, "median_excess_return": -0.007442, "regime_survival": 0.76, "best_return": 0.591044, "worst_return": -0.169548, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.071711, "positive_rate": 0.875, "directional_follow_through": 0.875, "median_excess_return": 0.004726, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.62509, "worst_return": -0.151361, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.175079, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.077957, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.708825, "worst_return": -0.122271, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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2.59936, "relative_strength": 34.065063, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.34533, "energy": 74.975143, "activity_lines": [ 5.447026, 5.32772, 5.272767, 4.947349 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.35, "volume": 1388900, "typical_volume": 3276870.0, "trend": 4.542206, "fair_value": 2.6237, "relative_strength": 28.273236, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.590946, "energy": 55.971216, "activity_lines": [ 5.438, 5.340624, 5.301455, 5.004036 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.34, "volume": 990100, "typical_volume": 3021355.0, "trend": 4.610594, "fair_value": 2.648114, "relative_strength": 27.477189, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.568465, "energy": 40.327574, "activity_lines": [ 5.396667, 5.350113, 5.319509, 5.055507 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.31, "volume": 733000, "typical_volume": 2772225.0, "trend": 4.677553, "fair_value": 2.672426, "relative_strength": 21.814369, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.521743, "energy": 34.143881, "activity_lines": [ 5.356667, 5.354897, 5.325066, 5.10063 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }