{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1cb28433-c093-4902-bd73-c13716ff2dab", "symbol": "WHD", "name": "Cactus Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 80.239, "architecture_energy": 75.99, "architecture_maturity": 21.125, "architecture_confidence": 79.264, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 27.28, "rotation_up": 73.74, "upward_expansion": 86.47, "deceleration": 47.86, "rotation_down": 11.41, "downward_expansion": 17.8 }, "activity_lines": [ 61.846, 58.333091, 57.134251, 55.859473 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 67.9, "trend_reference": 54.799622, "distance_from_trend": 0.23906, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 49.65467, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.367444, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 23.238177, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.176612, "excess_performance": 0.050987, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.23906, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.079223, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.367444, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.250203, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.232382, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.181543, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.176612, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.678542, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4669115, "relative_activity": 1.185757, "balance": 1.678542, "dry_up": 1.109077, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.077406, "annualized_volatility": 0.462351, "from_high_reference": -0.014592, "from_low_reference": 1.062164 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 54.799622, "fair_value_reference": 49.65467, "structural_low": 44.342984, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": -0.044391, "positive_rate": 0.407407, "directional_follow_through": 0.407407, "median_excess_return": -0.024674, "regime_survival": 0.62963, "best_return": 0.182924, "worst_return": -0.26331, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.071305, "positive_rate": 0.727273, "directional_follow_through": 0.727273, "median_excess_return": 0.045685, "regime_survival": 0.272727, "best_return": 0.238556, "worst_return": -0.358693, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.166726, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.11445, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.181851, "worst_return": -0.361769, "sufficient": true }, { 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"2026-07-10", "close": 53.79, "volume": 3323499, "typical_volume": 4435366.8, "trend": 53.032995, "fair_value": 49.3534, "relative_strength": 1.554251, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -0.334136, "energy": 17.242828, "activity_lines": [ 53.009333, 54.797759, 54.506745, 54.036244 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 54.5, "volume": 4805524, "typical_volume": 4320413.0, "trend": 53.335654, "fair_value": 49.404624, "relative_strength": 4.395185, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -8.917461, "energy": 17.504341, "activity_lines": [ 53.175333, 54.570979, 54.617119, 54.130889 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 55.12, "volume": 2760199, "typical_volume": 4100438.85, "trend": 53.64704, "fair_value": 49.450444, "relative_strength": 6.144101, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 14.46605, "energy": 12.422518, "activity_lines": [ 53.854667, 54.448012, 54.782865, 54.246009 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 65.01, "volume": 5233873, "typical_volume": 3990154.05, "trend": 54.254264, "fair_value": 49.547114, "relative_strength": 23.049758, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.698126, "energy": 47.668631, "activity_lines": [ 57.802, 56.154187, 55.86561, 54.979103 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 67.9, "volume": 4669115, "typical_volume": 3937667.2, "trend": 54.799622, "fair_value": 49.65467, "relative_strength": 23.238177, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.239076, "energy": 75.990143, "activity_lines": [ 61.846, 58.333091, 57.134251, 55.859473 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }