{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1cb9b1e9-94d3-49f0-bdc5-5b6f0eb8b3c3", "symbol": "MUUSAS", "name": "UBS MSCI USA SF UCITS ETF USD acc", "exchange": "EBS", "country": "CH", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SSMI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 91.117, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 89.223, "architecture_energy": 71.01, "architecture_maturity": 57.571, "architecture_confidence": 80.375, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 22.84, "rotation_up": 56.89, "upward_expansion": 83.0, "deceleration": 64.57, "rotation_down": 28.35, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 220.856669, 219.594546, 217.333952, 212.892538 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 226.300003, "trend_reference": 207.861333, "distance_from_trend": 0.088707, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 170.313246, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.328728, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 0.955431, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.132179, "excess_performance": 0.049296, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.088707, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.035343, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.328728, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.007898, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.009554, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.069095, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.132179, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.792679, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2032, "relative_activity": 0.807198, "balance": 4.792679, "dry_up": 0.491886, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.014871, "annualized_volatility": 0.125955, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.223243 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 207.861333, "fair_value_reference": 170.313246, "structural_low": 185.720001, 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168.521067, "relative_strength": -1.33886, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.516901, "energy": 61.212969, "activity_lines": [ 218.509999, 218.314544, 214.232808, 210.153655 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 217.850006, "volume": 414, "typical_volume": 2423.5, "trend": 206.496333, "fair_value": 169.090105, "relative_strength": -1.399761, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.963321, "energy": 64.827779, "activity_lines": [ 218.416668, 218.245455, 215.108571, 210.924537 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 217.75, "volume": 1238, "typical_volume": 2429.45, "trend": 207.049666, "fair_value": 169.667092, "relative_strength": -1.515682, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.266082, "energy": 57.249945, "activity_lines": [ 218.306668, 218.140909, 215.871904, 211.65058 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 226.300003, "volume": 2032, "typical_volume": 2517.35, "trend": 207.861333, "fair_value": 170.313246, "relative_strength": 0.955431, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 89.222671, "energy": 71.009583, "activity_lines": [ 220.856669, 219.594546, 217.333952, 212.892538 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }