{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "1cbea033-e017-411a-b691-c6b7524c6ada",
    "symbol": "MFC",
    "name": "Manulife Financial Corp",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 74.353,
    "architecture_energy": 86.42,
    "architecture_maturity": 42.816,
    "architecture_confidence": 84.751,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 2.77,
        "rotation_up": 82.01,
        "upward_expansion": 98.67,
        "deceleration": 39.78,
        "rotation_down": 10.28,
        "downward_expansion": 20.67
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        43.896,
        42.767455,
        41.06888,
        39.675564
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 44.32,
    "trend_reference": 38.200227,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.160203,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 28.23293,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.569798,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 10.916985,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.187586,
    "excess_performance": 0.061961,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.160203,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.066237,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.569798,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.057013,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.10917,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.040208,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.187586,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.453782,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 13452172,
      "relative_activity": 1.370188,
      "balance": 2.453782,
      "dry_up": 0.981627,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.041659,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.206125,
      "from_high_reference": -0.022281,
      "from_low_reference": 0.545992
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 38.200227,
      "fair_value_reference": 28.23293,
      "structural_low": 32.28245,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 32,
        "median_return": 0.000916,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.00251,
        "regime_survival": 0.6875,
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        "worst_return": -0.095283,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "fair_value": 27.712878,
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        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "direction": 87.35538,
        "energy": 87.801056,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 43.67,
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        "typical_volume": 9760393.75,
        "trend": 37.648419,
        "fair_value": 27.881515,
        "relative_strength": 15.364734,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.063082,
        "energy": 89.995177,
        "activity_lines": [
          42.562,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 44.44,
        "volume": 9610717,
        "typical_volume": 9698770.95,
        "trend": 37.944636,
        "fair_value": 28.057775,
        "relative_strength": 15.611887,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.13614,
        "energy": 91.439576,
        "activity_lines": [
          43.387333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 44.32,
        "volume": 13452172,
        "typical_volume": 9817756.45,
        "trend": 38.200227,
        "fair_value": 28.23293,
        "relative_strength": 10.916985,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.353495,
        "energy": 86.420195,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}