{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1cd1ab56-5c16-4290-9971-ed5603f90aee", "symbol": "275980", "name": "Mirae Asset TIGER Synth-Morningstar Global Exponential Technology(H)", "exchange": "KSC", "country": "KR", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^KS11", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 15.458, "architecture_energy": 17.221, "architecture_maturity": 55.705, "architecture_confidence": 76.169, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 51.24, "rotation_up": 23.65, "upward_expansion": 49.76, "deceleration": 81.68, "rotation_down": 37.38, "downward_expansion": 27.76 }, "activity_lines": [ 22951.0, 23292.0, 23303.309524, 22833.494624 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 23335.0, "trend_reference": 22284.166667, "distance_from_trend": 0.047156, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 18082.713122, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.290459, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -12.092251, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.113842, "excess_performance": -0.115986, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.047156, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.051064, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.290459, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.031667, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.120923, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.258306, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.113842, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.418693, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 11567, "relative_activity": 0.379299, "balance": 1.418693, "dry_up": 0.513622, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.052513, "annualized_volatility": 0.178811, "from_high_reference": -0.079124, "from_low_reference": 0.312298 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 22284.166667, "fair_value_reference": 18082.713122, "structural_low": 19305.0, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.01083, "positive_rate": 0.461538, "directional_follow_through": 0.461538, "median_excess_return": -0.019006, "regime_survival": 0.384615, "best_return": 0.082551, "worst_return": -0.095252, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.039116, "positive_rate": 0.857143, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": -0.048499, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.183649, "worst_return": -0.007546, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.072074, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": 0.002704, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.213548, "worst_return": -0.075095, 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23261.5, 22713.587097 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 22370.0, "volume": 9570, "typical_volume": 34366.85, "trend": 22142.666667, "fair_value": 17994.228885, "relative_strength": -22.655124, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 25.9166, "energy": 17.02594, "activity_lines": [ 23203.666667, 23564.363636, 23245.97619, 22732.043011 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 22590.0, "volume": 16975, "typical_volume": 31721.55, "trend": 22209.833333, "fair_value": 18035.048396, "relative_strength": -19.930317, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 20.693526, "energy": 18.886681, "activity_lines": [ 22913.666667, 23354.818182, 23244.190476, 22760.903226 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 23335.0, "volume": 11567, "typical_volume": 30495.7, "trend": 22284.166667, "fair_value": 18082.713122, "relative_strength": -12.092251, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 15.458075, "energy": 17.221475, "activity_lines": [ 22951.0, 23292.0, 23303.309524, 22833.494624 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }