{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1cd8d500-e47c-43de-ad85-7cd438603d3d", "symbol": "DLEA", "name": "Delek Automotive Systems Ltd", "exchange": "TLV", "country": "IL", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "TA35.TA", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.652, "architecture_energy": 66.989, "architecture_maturity": 91.757, "architecture_confidence": 94.257, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.04, "rotation_up": 29.95, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 60.59, "rotation_down": 53.01, "downward_expansion": 83.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 16.320667, 16.505273, 551.862333, 947.224495 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 15.28, "trend_reference": 1425.147667, "distance_from_trend": -0.989278, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2228.073269, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.993142, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -99.291792, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.992762, "excess_performance": -1.021662, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.989278, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.372854, "read": "Falling" 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"structural_low": 14.96, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": -0.026045, "positive_rate": 0.464286, "directional_follow_through": 0.535714, "median_excess_return": -0.018829, "regime_survival": 0.785714, "best_return": 0.250638, "worst_return": -0.991229, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.049318, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.121773, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.508913, "worst_return": -0.33922, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.047812, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.163649, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.294652, "worst_return": -0.356229, "sufficient": true 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"fair_value": 2261.052628, "relative_strength": -99.262779, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.173098, "energy": 68.178333, "activity_lines": [ 16.614, 121.053636, 778.766905, 1145.254086 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 16.94, "volume": 463250, "typical_volume": 973446.45, "trend": 1509.471667, "fair_value": 2244.667628, "relative_strength": -99.2326, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.671586, "energy": 67.303092, "activity_lines": [ 16.778667, 51.966182, 661.050667, 1043.623957 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 15.28, "volume": 1638044, "typical_volume": 968374.4, "trend": 1425.147667, "fair_value": 2228.073269, "relative_strength": -99.291792, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.652147, "energy": 66.988668, "activity_lines": [ 16.320667, 16.505273, 551.862333, 947.224495 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }