{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1ceae8dc-094b-4bea-9cf6-09031b8af4ec", "symbol": "AGNCP", "name": "AGNC Investment Corp.", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 81.091, "architecture_energy": 88.858, "architecture_maturity": 32.196, "architecture_confidence": 67.18, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 3.29, "rotation_up": 82.47, "upward_expansion": 99.07, "deceleration": 39.07, "rotation_down": 10.68, "downward_expansion": 21.07 }, "activity_lines": [ 25.100667, 24.972352, 24.781257, 24.657475 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 25.22, "trend_reference": 24.546186, "distance_from_trend": 0.027451, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 21.919398, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.150579, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -9.052434, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.028743, "excess_performance": -0.158711, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.027451, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.013002, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.150579, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.001472, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.090524, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.0581, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.028743, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.694824, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 151505, "relative_activity": 0.394, "balance": 1.694824, "dry_up": 0.697402, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.008491, "annualized_volatility": 0.058512, "from_high_reference": -0.000792, "from_low_reference": 0.075307 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 24.546186, "fair_value_reference": 21.919398, "structural_low": 23.615714, "invalidation": 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"direction": 78.715952, "energy": 68.967955, "activity_lines": [ 24.80315, 24.696597, 24.557991, 24.497967 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 25.03, "volume": 230738, "typical_volume": 387194.5, "trend": 24.447967, "fair_value": 21.766279, "relative_strength": -6.99809, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.764201, "energy": 73.286412, "activity_lines": [ 24.894684, 24.773312, 24.613496, 24.537833 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 25.01, "volume": 392465, "typical_volume": 390886.65, "trend": 24.483023, "fair_value": 21.816168, "relative_strength": -5.312774, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.520458, "energy": 78.731815, "activity_lines": [ 24.956991, 24.835436, 24.664087, 24.574093 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 25.07, "volume": 297982, "typical_volume": 393509.45, "trend": 24.514549, "fair_value": 21.867746, "relative_strength": -5.292034, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.505867, "energy": 85.373309, "activity_lines": [ 25.021333, 24.896099, 24.717432, 24.611962 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 25.22, "volume": 151505, "typical_volume": 384530.55, "trend": 24.546186, "fair_value": 21.919398, "relative_strength": -9.052434, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.091262, "energy": 88.857974, "activity_lines": [ 25.100667, 24.972352, 24.781257, 24.657475 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }