{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1cebdefc-a707-4524-b17a-8a51802bf8a2", "symbol": "SR", "name": "Spire Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 52.636, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -36.47, "architecture_energy": 20.325, "architecture_maturity": 47.927, "architecture_confidence": 68.552, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 47.11, "rotation_up": 26.32, "upward_expansion": 19.15, "deceleration": 45.8, "rotation_down": 25.62, "downward_expansion": 55.48 }, "activity_lines": [ 81.512, 80.938837, 82.236806, 83.893025 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 81.97, "trend_reference": 85.199601, "distance_from_trend": -0.037906, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 68.166979, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.202488, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -12.099519, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.028828, "excess_performance": -0.154453, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.037906, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.008492, "read": "Falling" 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"fair_value": 67.473476, "relative_strength": -11.750369, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.963768, "energy": 48.90642, "activity_lines": [ 79.876667, 80.554941, 83.667245, 84.804133 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 81.41, "volume": 1855428, "typical_volume": 2290421.35, "trend": 85.146669, "fair_value": 67.629279, "relative_strength": -9.509477, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.057585, "energy": 36.535706, "activity_lines": [ 80.518667, 80.525009, 83.228611, 84.564043 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 83.28, "volume": 1935028, "typical_volume": 2300795.65, "trend": 85.210876, "fair_value": 67.807227, "relative_strength": -6.828271, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -39.508118, "energy": 25.291422, "activity_lines": [ 81.63, 80.896735, 83.008145, 84.443613 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 79.86, "volume": 2175230, "typical_volume": 2328078.85, "trend": 85.15324, "fair_value": 67.978124, "relative_strength": -11.495384, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.490635, "energy": 25.234569, "activity_lines": [ 81.186, 80.669443, 82.493602, 84.098395 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 81.97, "volume": 2507307, "typical_volume": 2336247.55, "trend": 85.199601, "fair_value": 68.166979, "relative_strength": -12.099519, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.469692, "energy": 20.325099, "activity_lines": [ 81.512, 80.938837, 82.236806, 83.893025 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }