{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1cec4638-c1f2-4a10-af46-7aceb78218ee", "symbol": "KSCP", "name": "Knightscope Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.609, "architecture_energy": 62.6, "architecture_maturity": 68.194, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.42, "rotation_up": 22.31, "upward_expansion": 11.62, "deceleration": 58.78, "rotation_down": 57.73, "downward_expansion": 82.62 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.562, 1.695091, 2.12619, 2.531914 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 1.57, "trend_reference": 3.022667, "distance_from_trend": -0.480591, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 13.711987, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.885502, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -65.934696, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.561453, "excess_performance": -0.748906, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.480591, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.224758, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.885502, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.05855, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.659347, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.151984, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.561453, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.360363, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5437556, "relative_activity": 1.13072, "balance": 0.360363, "dry_up": 2.509651, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.289912, "annualized_volatility": 0.713373, "from_high_reference": -0.793963, "from_low_reference": 0.162963 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.022667, "fair_value_reference": 13.711987, "structural_low": 1.35, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": -0.103943, "positive_rate": 0.28, "directional_follow_through": 0.72, "median_excess_return": -0.148306, "regime_survival": 0.88, "best_return": 2.315364, "worst_return": -0.476471, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.200236, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.240378, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.411711, "worst_return": -0.332473, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.183751, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.362944, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.07451, "worst_return": -0.522462, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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-69.297665, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.468968, "energy": 91.829241, "activity_lines": [ 1.76, 1.990364, 2.487905, 2.847462 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.45, "volume": 28873390, "typical_volume": 4113069.05, "trend": 3.182667, "fair_value": 14.576026, "relative_strength": -68.312249, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.63635, "energy": 85.502756, "activity_lines": [ 1.626667, 1.846727, 2.346286, 2.73028 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.64, "volume": 11333958, "typical_volume": 4632460.9, "trend": 3.102, "fair_value": 14.182692, "relative_strength": -63.50502, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.161348, "energy": 63.698047, "activity_lines": [ 1.594, 1.764909, 2.234381, 2.630753 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.57, "volume": 5437556, "typical_volume": 4808932.8, "trend": 3.022667, "fair_value": 13.711987, "relative_strength": -65.934696, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.608683, "energy": 62.600323, "activity_lines": [ 1.562, 1.695091, 2.12619, 2.531914 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }