{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1cf74100-33c5-4eb7-b940-0e1fbd82f4ff", "symbol": "PAUS", "name": "Invesco Markets II PLC - Msci USA Esg Climate Paris Aligned Ucits ETF", "exchange": "MIL", "country": "IT", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 88.701, "architecture_energy": 70.54, "architecture_maturity": 62.912, "architecture_confidence": 75.381, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.82, "rotation_up": 59.09, "upward_expansion": 85.33, "deceleration": 66.93, "rotation_down": 28.46, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.066267, 6.026036, 5.913169, 5.74764 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 6.244, "trend_reference": 5.562083, "distance_from_trend": 0.122601, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 5.134769, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.216023, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -3.326303, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.221201, "excess_performance": 0.050309, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.122601, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.033566, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.216023, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.080424, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.033263, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.043463, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.221201, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 8.449346, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7479, "relative_activity": 0.363315, "balance": 8.449346, "dry_up": 0.512559, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.020956, "annualized_volatility": 0.148818, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.271043 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.562083, "fair_value_reference": 5.134769, "structural_low": 4.9125, "invalidation": "A 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"volume": 0, "typical_volume": 18570.75, "trend": 5.48285, "fair_value": 5.085154, "relative_strength": -5.189778, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.490243, "energy": 69.458702, "activity_lines": [ 5.9934, 5.956327, 5.753812, 5.612089 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 5.949, "volume": 19574, "typical_volume": 19549.45, "trend": 5.50155, "fair_value": 5.096731, "relative_strength": -5.409475, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.833477, "energy": 63.01168, "activity_lines": [ 5.9858, 5.965091, 5.791148, 5.642163 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.997, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 19549.45, "trend": 5.520717, "fair_value": 5.10859, "relative_strength": -4.246398, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.510905, "energy": 64.476468, "activity_lines": [ 5.991533, 5.977109, 5.829136, 5.674128 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.955, "volume": 15152, "typical_volume": 20307.05, "trend": 5.53885, "fair_value": 5.120638, "relative_strength": -5.285773, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.535015, "energy": 60.407224, "activity_lines": [ 5.983733, 5.9766, 5.859333, 5.702146 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.244, "volume": 7479, "typical_volume": 20585.45, "trend": 5.562083, "fair_value": 5.134769, "relative_strength": -3.326303, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 88.700785, "energy": 70.540099, "activity_lines": [ 6.066267, 6.026036, 5.913169, 5.74764 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }