{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1d068404-a3d2-46a5-b103-9f79bb8a4a52", "symbol": "1447", "name": "Li Peng Enterprise Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 90.989, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 34.673, "architecture_energy": 23.543, "architecture_maturity": 68.128, "architecture_confidence": 77.286, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.78, "rotation_up": 23.52, "upward_expansion": 55.9, "deceleration": 91.15, "rotation_down": 30.5, "downward_expansion": 19.57 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.074, 7.394364, 6.90119, 6.498215 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 6.89, "trend_reference": 6.048667, "distance_from_trend": 0.139094, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 7.147885, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.036078, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -15.502399, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.26422, "excess_performance": -0.177152, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.139094, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.115099, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.036078, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.223922, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.155024, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.215315, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.26422, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.406138, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8156288, "relative_activity": 0.565176, "balance": 2.406138, "dry_up": 0.893219, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.155186, "annualized_volatility": 0.785521, "from_high_reference": -0.31031, "from_low_reference": 0.406122 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.048667, "fair_value_reference": 7.147885, "structural_low": 4.9, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.014929, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.01333, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.064052, "worst_return": -0.078947, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.031464, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.110214, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.019608, "worst_return": -0.082536, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.181083, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.055448, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.405229, "worst_return": -0.043062, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.086396, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.356291, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.062745, "worst_return": -0.110048, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2023-03-24", "end": "2023-08-11", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.031289, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2023-08-18", "end": "2023-11-24", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.048748, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2023-12-01", "end": "2024-01-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.032541, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-01-19", "end": "2024-02-23", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.138562, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward 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"relative_strength": 3.201637, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.842631, "energy": 84.672011, "activity_lines": [ 8.184, 7.436727, 6.565571, 6.203914 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.5, "volume": 18593677, "typical_volume": 14168199.25, "trend": 5.892333, "fair_value": 7.165897, "relative_strength": -6.463704, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.494057, "energy": 80.18264, "activity_lines": [ 8.098667, 7.547818, 6.703762, 6.312065 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.78, "volume": 12481089, "typical_volume": 14587572.8, "trend": 5.937667, "fair_value": 7.159487, "relative_strength": -13.484258, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.013368, "energy": 46.572783, "activity_lines": [ 7.675333, 7.488727, 6.76481, 6.369333 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.04, "volume": 12330561, "typical_volume": 14514188.3, "trend": 5.994667, "fair_value": 7.154167, "relative_strength": -11.510567, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.818032, "energy": 27.47028, "activity_lines": [ 7.301333, 7.462727, 6.844238, 6.440452 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 6.89, "volume": 8156288, "typical_volume": 14431409.3, "trend": 6.048667, "fair_value": 7.147885, "relative_strength": -15.502399, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.67252, "energy": 23.542618, "activity_lines": [ 7.074, 7.394364, 6.90119, 6.498215 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }