{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "1d17dbaa-d67b-4aa8-93f1-8d51eb71e8d7",
    "symbol": "ODL",
    "name": "Odfjell Drilling Ltd.",
    "exchange": "OSL",
    "country": "NO",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "OSEBX.OL",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch",
    "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -29.464,
    "architecture_energy": 22.703,
    "architecture_maturity": 57.928,
    "architecture_confidence": 72.942,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 46.28,
        "rotation_up": 37.85,
        "upward_expansion": 23.28,
        "deceleration": 40.91,
        "rotation_down": 24.98,
        "downward_expansion": 57.28
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        89.047193,
        90.788585
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      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 88.800003,
    "trend_reference": 92.177402,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.03664,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 58.079958,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.528927,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -6.907109,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.021942,
    "excess_performance": -0.146936,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.03664,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.025413,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.528927,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.298745,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.069071,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.138032,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.021942,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.741436,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1096537,
      "relative_activity": 0.947662,
      "balance": 0.741436,
      "dry_up": 1.044713,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.049249,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.226874,
      "from_high_reference": -0.168651,
      "from_low_reference": 0.381002
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 92.177402,
      "fair_value_reference": 58.079958,
      "structural_low": 82.5,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "positive_rate": 0.875,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.125,
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        "worst_return": -0.023277,
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      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.016305,
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      },
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 1707920.2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "fair_value": 53.517003,
        "relative_strength": -7.071379,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -8.385043,
        "energy": 19.576042,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "volume": 2749289,
        "typical_volume": 1829059.1,
        "trend": 89.892966,
        "fair_value": 53.938394,
        "relative_strength": -4.902525,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -27.096908,
        "energy": 32.395715,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 90.0,
        "volume": 298661,
        "typical_volume": 1789627.55,
        "trend": 90.412256,
        "fair_value": 54.375995,
        "relative_strength": -2.996658,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 40.104875,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 87.900002,
        "volume": 346877,
        "typical_volume": 1759891.8,
        "trend": 90.881712,
        "fair_value": 54.801452,
        "relative_strength": -5.06796,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -26.092651,
        "energy": 50.301471,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "fair_value": 55.224702,
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        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 1587365.15,
        "trend": 91.294885,
        "fair_value": 55.631489,
        "relative_strength": -4.446357,
        "stage": 3,
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        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -44.810521,
        "energy": 54.642392,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 85.199997,
        "volume": 235986,
        "typical_volume": 1543415.75,
        "trend": 91.321472,
        "fair_value": 56.03674,
        "relative_strength": -6.223214,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -39.914222,
        "energy": 55.364311,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 84.5,
        "volume": 890939,
        "typical_volume": 1487507.4,
        "trend": 91.397843,
        "fair_value": 56.436188,
        "relative_strength": -6.535684,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -40.221464,
        "energy": 58.615092,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 85.400002,
        "volume": 1244039,
        "typical_volume": 1388267.8,
        "trend": 91.555078,
        "fair_value": 56.834294,
        "relative_strength": -6.879964,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -63.060463,
        "energy": 65.102809,
        "activity_lines": [
          85.079999,
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          89.426053,
          91.05238
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 91.5,
        "volume": 1162874,
        "typical_volume": 1334181.85,
        "trend": 91.864782,
        "fair_value": 57.270185,
        "relative_strength": -2.913192,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -42.762676,
        "energy": 31.68324,
        "activity_lines": [
          87.18,
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          89.371309,
          91.048826
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 91.099998,
        "volume": 1331884,
        "typical_volume": 1326516.75,
        "trend": 92.068962,
        "fair_value": 57.68613,
        "relative_strength": -3.991862,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -34.760832,
        "energy": 20.083244,
        "activity_lines": [
          88.793333,
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          89.303776,
          90.999486
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 88.800003,
        "volume": 1096537,
        "typical_volume": 1157096.55,
        "trend": 92.177402,
        "fair_value": 58.079958,
        "relative_strength": -6.907109,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -29.463505,
        "energy": 22.702543,
        "activity_lines": [
          89.213334,
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}