{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1d37db14-f882-423f-b922-ee3a781a4d99", "symbol": "XOCT", "name": "FT VEST U.S. EQUITY ENHANCE & MODERATE BUFFER ETF - OCTOBER", "exchange": "CBOE", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 65.209, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 88.029, "architecture_energy": 85.906, "architecture_maturity": 42.985, "architecture_confidence": 72.72, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 2.6, "rotation_up": 69.89, "upward_expansion": 95.84, "deceleration": 42.65, "rotation_down": 25.97, "downward_expansion": 17.84 }, "activity_lines": [ 39.802967, 39.662776, 39.410947, 39.041549 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 40.0149, "trend_reference": 38.61432, "distance_from_trend": 0.036271, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 35.13018, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.139046, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -6.100324, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.052993, "excess_performance": -0.072632, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.036271, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.018205, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.139046, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.013581, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.061003, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.000747, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.052993, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.210954, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 49877, "relative_activity": 0.485567, "balance": 0.210954, "dry_up": 0.160367, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.005959, "annualized_volatility": 0.051426, "from_high_reference": -0.000889, "from_low_reference": 0.103634 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 38.61432, "fair_value_reference": 35.13018, "structural_low": 36.7023, 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"2026-07-24", "close": 39.615, "volume": 3869, "typical_volume": 101605.9, "trend": 38.47871, "fair_value": 35.063829, "relative_strength": -3.091125, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.053826, "energy": 86.929246, "activity_lines": [ 39.5928, 39.497971, 39.206023, 38.861589 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 39.8, "volume": 1886, "typical_volume": 101603.55, "trend": 38.54681, "fair_value": 35.096492, "relative_strength": -3.520946, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.599085, "energy": 88.990306, "activity_lines": [ 39.680067, 39.566202, 39.304035, 38.946833 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 40.0149, "volume": 49877, "typical_volume": 102719.1, "trend": 38.61432, "fair_value": 35.13018, "relative_strength": -6.100324, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 88.02884, "energy": 85.905813, "activity_lines": [ 39.802967, 39.662776, 39.410947, 39.041549 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }