{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1d38a204-5a52-4008-aac6-a21e4077ea00", "symbol": "SHUS", "name": "STRATIFIED LARGECAP HEDGED ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 92.751, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 88.221, "architecture_energy": 72.373, "architecture_maturity": 39.335, "architecture_confidence": 76.451, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.99, "rotation_up": 66.58, "upward_expansion": 85.33, "deceleration": 60.19, "rotation_down": 22.45, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 51.275487, 50.953084, 50.225933, 49.585866 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 52.1081, "trend_reference": 48.904703, "distance_from_trend": 0.065503, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 45.154168, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.154004, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -2.064738, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.072375, "excess_performance": -0.05325, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.065503, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.033291, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.154004, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.052928, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.020647, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.028621, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.072375, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.161765, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 45, "relative_activity": 0.100111, "balance": 2.161765, "dry_up": 0.106785, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.013326, "annualized_volatility": 0.093736, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.195926 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 48.904703, "fair_value_reference": 45.154168, "structural_low": 45.8281, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.022473, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.011866, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.032256, "worst_return": 0.019409, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, 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"2026-07-24", "close": 50.6138, "volume": 43, "typical_volume": 490.7, "trend": 48.576627, "fair_value": 45.01834, "relative_strength": -0.563054, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.889797, "energy": 80.581235, "activity_lines": [ 50.760393, 50.482087, 49.73127, 49.20549 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 51.1039, "volume": 32, "typical_volume": 472.25, "trend": 48.739543, "fair_value": 45.081732, "relative_strength": -0.634053, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.655563, "energy": 66.616693, "activity_lines": [ 50.863587, 50.639804, 49.941101, 49.36854 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 52.1081, "volume": 45, "typical_volume": 449.5, "trend": 48.904703, "fair_value": 45.154168, "relative_strength": -2.064738, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 88.22143, "energy": 72.373129, "activity_lines": [ 51.275487, 50.953084, 50.225933, 49.585866 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }