{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1d3ffc1c-ac83-4eef-a8a9-06cafebbf1c0", "symbol": "002214", "name": "Zhe Jiang Dali Technology Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.274, "architecture_energy": 49.484, "architecture_maturity": 50.969, "architecture_confidence": 82.806, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.07, "rotation_up": 23.72, "upward_expansion": 7.39, "deceleration": 60.6, "rotation_down": 54.23, "downward_expansion": 80.72 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.769333, 13.893455, 15.125429, 16.00929 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 15.86, "trend_reference": 17.092667, "distance_from_trend": -0.072117, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 12.992822, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.220674, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -1.916314, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.159067, "excess_performance": -0.166467, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.072117, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.040349, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.220674, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.271354, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.019163, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.115833, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.159067, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.540189, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 35449295, "relative_activity": 1.827261, "balance": 0.540189, "dry_up": 1.273272, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.104229, "annualized_volatility": 0.506005, "from_high_reference": -0.264378, "from_low_reference": 0.554902 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 17.092667, "fair_value_reference": 12.992822, "structural_low": 11.17, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": 0.017559, "positive_rate": 0.521739, "directional_follow_through": 0.478261, "median_excess_return": 0.003463, "regime_survival": 0.782609, "best_return": 0.180254, "worst_return": -0.234778, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.02126, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": 0.001115, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.403662, "worst_return": -0.281218, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.011945, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.043766, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.100152, "worst_return": -0.315314, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -84.956049, "energy": 79.021958, "activity_lines": [ 14.270667, 15.006727, 16.398857, 17.032731 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 12.59, "volume": 21790840, "typical_volume": 17924269.15, "trend": 17.499333, "fair_value": 12.976406, "relative_strength": -18.490066, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.571665, "energy": 86.193518, "activity_lines": [ 13.604667, 14.397091, 15.957524, 16.706645 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 12.38, "volume": 20399995, "typical_volume": 17959915.95, "trend": 17.335, "fair_value": 12.970352, "relative_strength": -20.1766, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.925181, "energy": 79.93559, "activity_lines": [ 13.028667, 13.868727, 15.524619, 16.376366 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 12.95, "volume": 21166984, "typical_volume": 18292225.45, "trend": 17.164667, "fair_value": 12.970505, "relative_strength": -15.337929, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.122772, "energy": 74.063576, "activity_lines": [ 12.864667, 13.565273, 15.17419, 16.093462 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 15.86, "volume": 35449295, "typical_volume": 19400234.2, "trend": 17.092667, "fair_value": 12.992822, "relative_strength": -1.916314, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.274443, "energy": 49.484472, "activity_lines": [ 13.769333, 13.893455, 15.125429, 16.00929 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }