{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1d4aad60-f513-4c9d-82c6-0b7b8bd8242b", "symbol": "2704", "name": "The Ambassador Hotel,Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 60.624, "architecture_energy": 51.946, "architecture_maturity": 17.167, "architecture_confidence": 67.429, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.74, "rotation_up": 64.57, "upward_expansion": 81.56, "deceleration": 53.55, "rotation_down": 13.71, "downward_expansion": 8.23 }, "activity_lines": [ 46.216482, 45.656398, 44.367041, 43.738408 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 45.950001, "trend_reference": 43.162233, "distance_from_trend": 0.064588, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 49.873622, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.078671, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -24.1692, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.088123, "excess_performance": -0.353249, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.064588, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.019957, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.078671, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.101653, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.241692, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.11775, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.088123, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 6.108837, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 448719, "relative_activity": 0.718072, "balance": 6.108837, "dry_up": 0.97732, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.047499, "annualized_volatility": 0.166005, "from_high_reference": -0.075453, "from_low_reference": 0.13324 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 43.162233, "fair_value_reference": 49.873622, "structural_low": 40.943049, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": -0.007253, "positive_rate": 0.409091, "directional_follow_through": 0.409091, "median_excess_return": 0.023065, "regime_survival": 0.818182, "best_return": 0.233333, "worst_return": -0.142053, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.008252, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.003772, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.322011, "worst_return": -0.132134, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.019048, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.059344, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.481528, "worst_return": -0.119444, "sufficient": true }, { 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] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 47.950001, "volume": 769328, "typical_volume": 634708.7, "trend": 42.912535, "fair_value": 49.917743, "relative_strength": -17.763812, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.32358, "energy": 74.914297, "activity_lines": [ 46.099596, 45.161995, 43.83893, 43.360397 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 45.849998, "volume": 517425, "typical_volume": 633887.95, "trend": 43.0283, "fair_value": 49.893509, "relative_strength": -22.516799, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.414938, "energy": 57.748185, "activity_lines": [ 46.189558, 45.43842, 44.107316, 43.549911 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 45.950001, "volume": 448719, "typical_volume": 624894.0, "trend": 43.162233, "fair_value": 49.873622, "relative_strength": -24.1692, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.624077, "energy": 51.945667, "activity_lines": [ 46.216482, 45.656398, 44.367041, 43.738408 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }