{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1d57fb3b-001d-4ee2-981e-50017cbb7475", "symbol": "T88", "name": "Taiton Resources Limited", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -72.893, "architecture_energy": 88.739, "architecture_maturity": 66.517, "architecture_confidence": 89.709, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 2.77, "rotation_up": 28.67, "upward_expansion": 21.9, "deceleration": 37.03, "rotation_down": 63.56, "downward_expansion": 99.9 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.036133, 0.038982, 0.049586, 0.061413 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 0.035, "trend_reference": 0.080567, "distance_from_trend": -0.565577, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.108013, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.675964, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -61.203724, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.766667, "excess_performance": -0.830372, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.565577, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.177051, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.675964, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.180356, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.612037, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.269206, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.766667, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.023644, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 52389, "relative_activity": 0.22465, "balance": 2.023644, "dry_up": 0.326651, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.217582, "annualized_volatility": 0.984537, "from_high_reference": -0.815789, "from_low_reference": 0.166667 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.080567, "fair_value_reference": 0.108013, "structural_low": 0.03, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.085714, "positive_rate": 0.090909, "directional_follow_through": 0.818182, "median_excess_return": -0.093917, "regime_survival": 0.909091, "best_return": 0.416667, "worst_return": -0.344828, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.344925, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.359695, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.833333, "worst_return": -0.416667, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.130952, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.105687, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.833333, "worst_return": -0.571429, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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0.088333, "fair_value": 0.110692, "relative_strength": -57.573021, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.697266, "energy": 69.534897, "activity_lines": [ 0.039667, 0.045764, 0.058571, 0.071099 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.037, "volume": 770, "typical_volume": 222636.6, "trend": 0.085733, "fair_value": 0.109808, "relative_strength": -57.230585, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.563214, "energy": 87.504638, "activity_lines": [ 0.038267, 0.0432, 0.055424, 0.067787 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.035, "volume": 226545, "typical_volume": 232634.85, "trend": 0.083067, "fair_value": 0.10891, "relative_strength": -60.229283, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.931617, "energy": 87.742406, "activity_lines": [ 0.037067, 0.040836, 0.052362, 0.064514 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.035, "volume": 52389, "typical_volume": 233203.2, "trend": 0.080567, "fair_value": 0.108013, "relative_strength": -61.203724, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.892544, "energy": 88.739035, "activity_lines": [ 0.036133, 0.038982, 0.049586, 0.061413 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }