{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1d5ca39d-b2c7-4bef-8e75-4a34889312b0", "symbol": "AI3A", "name": "Amadeus IT Group, S.A.", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 47.593, "architecture_energy": 53.431, "architecture_maturity": 10.635, "architecture_confidence": 59.548, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.26, "rotation_up": 59.88, "upward_expansion": 48.82, "deceleration": 30.4, "rotation_down": 27.88, "downward_expansion": 32.49 }, "activity_lines": [ 53.416667, 52.226182, 51.700183, 51.521846 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 57.52, "trend_reference": 51.916, "distance_from_trend": 0.107944, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 61.095447, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.058522, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -8.213959, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.082831, "excess_performance": 0.018192, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.107944, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.06782, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.058522, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.122748, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.08214, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.11417, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.082831, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.678513, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1467, "relative_activity": 0.956635, "balance": 1.678513, "dry_up": 0.851321, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.041357, "annualized_volatility": 0.340143, "from_high_reference": -0.219951, "from_low_reference": 0.240993 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 51.916, "fair_value_reference": 61.095447, "structural_low": 46.349998, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.000148, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.00608, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.024561, "worst_return": -0.119542, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.055722, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.052497, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.072982, "worst_return": -0.091068, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.087801, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.019486, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.169908, "worst_return": 0.031918, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"relative_strength": -17.832534, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.056414, "energy": 35.545346, "activity_lines": [ 50.227959, 50.675063, 50.808374, 51.109182 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 53.46, "volume": 2011, "typical_volume": 1601.8, "trend": 52.147238, "fair_value": 61.117643, "relative_strength": -12.90472, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -3.007487, "energy": 2.834633, "activity_lines": [ 51.222667, 51.108602, 51.063374, 51.175216 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 57.52, "volume": 1467, "typical_volume": 1533.5, "trend": 51.916, "fair_value": 61.095447, "relative_strength": -8.213959, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 47.592985, "energy": 53.430571, "activity_lines": [ 53.416667, 52.226182, 51.700183, 51.521846 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }