{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "1d6d4f2c-0614-4b9d-893a-8f54348bee29",
    "symbol": "AZO",
    "name": "AutoZone, Inc.",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -61.12,
    "architecture_energy": 50.064,
    "architecture_maturity": 35.754,
    "architecture_confidence": 92.912,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 12.72,
        "rotation_up": 21.55,
        "upward_expansion": 7.75,
        "deceleration": 52.15,
        "rotation_down": 56.39,
        "downward_expansion": 81.08
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 2646.0,
    "trend_reference": 2910.4,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.090847,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 2930.230769,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.096999,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -31.001332,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.131605,
    "excess_performance": -0.305852,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.090847,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.047259,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.096999,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.136124,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.310013,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.094014,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.131605,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.0,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 0.0,
      "dry_up": 0.606061,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.04727,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.290594,
      "from_high_reference": -0.287561,
      "from_low_reference": 0.027972
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 2930.230769,
      "structural_low": 2574.0,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.04304,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": 0.013871,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
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        "worst_return": -0.080808,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -53.019208,
        "energy": 43.278482,
        "activity_lines": [
          2973.333333,
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          3035.195238,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 3046.0,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "volume": 0,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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          3045.6,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "relative_strength": -23.614663,
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        "energy": 22.291891,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 0,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 2610.0,
        "volume": 8,
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        "trend": 3054.766667,
        "fair_value": 2902.602564,
        "relative_strength": -33.166748,
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "energy": 74.441077,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 0,
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        "fair_value": 2905.74359,
        "relative_strength": -29.816311,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "energy": 80.976036,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 0,
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        "fair_value": 2908.320513,
        "relative_strength": -31.600887,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "energy": 84.866731,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 2670.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2.7,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 2776.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2.45,
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        "relative_strength": -29.259204,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -66.386947,
        "energy": 81.173005,
        "activity_lines": [
          2703.733333,
          2770.763636,
          2869.471429,
          2922.372043
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 2762.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2.25,
        "trend": 2954.433333,
        "fair_value": 2917.487179,
        "relative_strength": -30.667295,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -63.083231,
        "energy": 61.180169,
        "activity_lines": [
          2730.133333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 2652.0,
        "volume": 47,
        "typical_volume": 3.95,
        "trend": 2944.666667,
        "fair_value": 2919.923077,
        "relative_strength": -31.952253,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -73.170752,
        "energy": 54.919801,
        "activity_lines": [
          2709.733333,
          2725.527273,
          2824.914286,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 2692.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 3.8,
        "trend": 2938.1,
        "fair_value": 2923.012821,
        "relative_strength": -28.979922,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -62.543247,
        "energy": 46.995237,
        "activity_lines": [
          2705.066667,
          2711.236364,
          2804.8,
          2873.043011
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 2590.0,
        "volume": 8,
        "typical_volume": 3.65,
        "trend": 2925.966667,
        "fair_value": 2925.192308,
        "relative_strength": -31.942323,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -75.267901,
        "energy": 55.340587,
        "activity_lines": [
          2664.933333,
          2684.109091,
          2777.238095,
          2850.584946
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 2626.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 3.55,
        "trend": 2918.966667,
        "fair_value": 2927.730769,
        "relative_strength": -30.249487,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -65.124156,
        "energy": 53.216112,
        "activity_lines": [
          2642.133333,
          2669.054545,
          2755.87619,
          2831.232258
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 2646.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 3.3,
        "trend": 2910.4,
        "fair_value": 2930.230769,
        "relative_strength": -31.001332,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -61.11988,
        "energy": 50.063694,
        "activity_lines": [
          2636.0,
          2664.036364,
          2738.8,
          2813.621505
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}