{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1d799763-9131-494f-9992-5463c5bed141", "symbol": "1522", "name": "TYC Brother Industrial Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-21", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -59.864, "architecture_energy": 44.836, "architecture_maturity": 74.072, "architecture_confidence": 90.663, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.7, "rotation_up": 23.56, "upward_expansion": 5.85, "deceleration": 58.97, "rotation_down": 55.44, "downward_expansion": 81.52 }, "activity_lines": [ 27.966666, 28.268115, 28.970741, 30.026642 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 28.049999, "trend_reference": 32.780759, "distance_from_trend": -0.144315, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 43.598234, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.356625, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -46.86969, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.342011, "excess_performance": -0.687743, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.144315, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.147092, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.356625, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.007182, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.468697, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.071414, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.342011, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.029832, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1459420, "relative_activity": 0.298248, "balance": 1.029832, "dry_up": 0.535136, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.068428, "annualized_volatility": 0.392284, "from_high_reference": -0.456976, "from_low_reference": 0.058491 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 32.780759, "fair_value_reference": 43.598234, "structural_low": 26.5, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": -0.009601, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": -0.030807, "regime_survival": 0.909091, "best_return": 0.116317, "worst_return": -0.144385, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.033175, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.061471, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.54717, "worst_return": -0.150624, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.113072, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.245218, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.704344, "worst_return": -0.24463, "sufficient": 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29.484285, 31.199461 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 28.0, "volume": 3961375, "typical_volume": 5020375.8, "trend": 34.00912, "fair_value": 43.593797, "relative_strength": -47.499123, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.972193, "energy": 50.530211, "activity_lines": [ 28.176933, 28.647626, 29.299013, 30.77763 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 27.799999, "volume": 2546402, "typical_volume": 4938780.7, "trend": 33.481185, "fair_value": 43.592142, "relative_strength": -48.906945, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.557531, "energy": 50.757356, "activity_lines": [ 27.996666, 28.407687, 29.11521, 30.377041 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-21", "close": 28.049999, "volume": 1459420, "typical_volume": 4893305.25, "trend": 32.780759, "fair_value": 43.598234, "relative_strength": -46.86969, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.864352, "energy": 44.835727, "activity_lines": [ 27.966666, 28.268115, 28.970741, 30.026642 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }