{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1d7ea7b0-492f-4a9b-b4c0-8a87dc5c38ad", "symbol": "6986", "name": "HeXun Biosciences Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -72.499, "architecture_energy": 75.883, "architecture_maturity": 34.212, "architecture_confidence": 88.726, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 1.21, "rotation_up": 14.05, "upward_expansion": 16.58, "deceleration": 40.86, "rotation_down": 76.14, "downward_expansion": 94.58 }, "activity_lines": [ 44.023332, 45.889999, 51.190237, 53.458601 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 43.099998, "trend_reference": 55.803333, "distance_from_trend": -0.227645, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 65.498571, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.34197, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -48.306747, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.264505, "excess_performance": -0.705877, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.227645, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.065323, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.34197, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.239872, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.483067, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.109309, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.264505, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.348211, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 237001, "relative_activity": 0.374903, "balance": 0.348211, "dry_up": 0.522015, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.109406, "annualized_volatility": 0.373547, "from_high_reference": -0.401389, "from_low_reference": 0.011737 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 55.803333, "fair_value_reference": 65.498571, "structural_low": 42.599998, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.008726, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.045053, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.209507, "worst_return": -0.129549, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.122605, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.097671, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.165455, "worst_return": -0.21267, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.116139, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.439255, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.116139, "worst_return": -0.116139, "sufficient": false }, { 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"fair_value": 66.126838, "relative_strength": -46.130359, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.594849, "energy": 86.120755, "activity_lines": [ 47.903333, 52.238182, 55.918095, 56.90387 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 44.849998, "volume": 291000, "typical_volume": 649790.7, "trend": 57.853333, "fair_value": 65.971533, "relative_strength": -46.773808, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.053789, "energy": 87.476321, "activity_lines": [ 46.363332, 50.342727, 54.734047, 56.014515 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 44.5, "volume": 454000, "typical_volume": 659755.9, "trend": 57.046666, "fair_value": 65.815942, "relative_strength": -45.466744, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.735921, "energy": 86.949095, "activity_lines": [ 45.483333, 48.660909, 53.554523, 55.15301 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 44.099998, "volume": 338000, "typical_volume": 651187.3, "trend": 56.416666, "fair_value": 65.659712, "relative_strength": -46.244952, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.397288, "energy": 83.35943, "activity_lines": [ 44.703332, 47.184545, 52.382142, 54.317741 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 43.099998, "volume": 237001, "typical_volume": 632165.75, "trend": 55.803333, "fair_value": 65.498571, "relative_strength": -48.306747, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.498923, "energy": 75.883235, "activity_lines": [ 44.023332, 45.889999, 51.190237, 53.458601 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }