{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1d8e91ca-c770-4cbb-b572-56bbf9a275e4", "symbol": "BSL", "name": "BSL Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -36.09, "architecture_energy": 19.293, "architecture_maturity": 24.232, "architecture_confidence": 68.37, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 48.91, "rotation_up": 17.1, "upward_expansion": 15.97, "deceleration": 51.23, "rotation_down": 49.15, "downward_expansion": 61.3 }, "activity_lines": [ 124.809333, 125.885273, 125.977619, 125.748128 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 123.529999, "trend_reference": 127.151999, "distance_from_trend": -0.028486, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 175.719427, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.297004, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -13.818124, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.116191, "excess_performance": -0.072482, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.028486, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.100651, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.297004, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.018457, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.138181, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.031786, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.116191, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.13243, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 15885, "relative_activity": 0.501036, "balance": 3.13243, "dry_up": 0.420022, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.064444, "annualized_volatility": 0.358003, "from_high_reference": -0.406106, "from_low_reference": 0.26051 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 127.151999, "fair_value_reference": 175.719427, "structural_low": 98.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.001163, "positive_rate": 0.466667, "directional_follow_through": 0.466667, "median_excess_return": -0.018374, "regime_survival": 0.466667, "best_return": 0.18153, "worst_return": -0.149387, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.109802, "positive_rate": 0.857143, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": 0.036024, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.306911, "worst_return": -0.038381, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.046869, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.061994, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.138036, "worst_return": -0.074351, 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"Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -10.421174, "energy": 7.260871, "activity_lines": [ 127.858, 127.445454, 125.778523, 126.851161 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 126.540001, "volume": 14120, "typical_volume": 33281.55, "trend": 129.667999, "fair_value": 176.537617, "relative_strength": -11.669343, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -11.027374, "energy": 6.644748, "activity_lines": [ 127.66, 127.318, 125.962714, 126.588451 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 124.739998, "volume": 12761, "typical_volume": 32670.7, "trend": 128.586333, "fair_value": 176.248469, "relative_strength": -10.60243, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -25.403473, "energy": 10.261455, "activity_lines": [ 126.639333, 126.926363, 125.992666, 126.270515 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 124.800003, "volume": 10500, "typical_volume": 32348.85, "trend": 127.840666, "fair_value": 175.966312, "relative_strength": -12.522003, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -20.812472, "energy": 10.803053, "activity_lines": [ 125.850001, 126.536364, 126.049428, 126.026236 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 123.529999, "volume": 15885, "typical_volume": 31704.3, "trend": 127.151999, "fair_value": 175.719427, "relative_strength": -13.818124, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.090098, "energy": 19.292881, "activity_lines": [ 124.809333, 125.885273, 125.977619, 125.748128 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }