{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1da1a694-76e0-4de0-9345-596d51fd92c0", "symbol": "NVGS", "name": "Navigator Holdings Ltd", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 51.267, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 24.151, "architecture_energy": 16.232, "architecture_maturity": 24.721, "architecture_confidence": 53.213, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 52.42, "rotation_up": 41.13, "upward_expansion": 59.25, "deceleration": 64.38, "rotation_down": 20.11, "downward_expansion": 16.25 }, "activity_lines": [ 21.331333, 21.082182, 21.368773, 21.045886 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 20.67, "trend_reference": 20.471793, "distance_from_trend": 0.009682, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 16.163942, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.278772, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -1.596162, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.141457, "excess_performance": 0.015832, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.009682, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.065245, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.278772, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.208291, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.015962, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.21501, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.141457, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.872741, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2026693, "relative_activity": 0.929536, "balance": 0.872741, "dry_up": 0.957191, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.078653, "annualized_volatility": 0.390112, "from_high_reference": -0.149033, "from_low_reference": 0.48371 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 20.471793, "fair_value_reference": 16.163942, "structural_low": 17.512441, "invalidation": "A 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"stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 6.375946, "energy": 21.064174, "activity_lines": [ 20.369333, 20.99109, 21.186696, 20.781727 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 21.71, "volume": 2083082, "typical_volume": 2323204.35, "trend": 20.206613, "fair_value": 16.057733, "relative_strength": 8.696317, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 17.857136, "energy": 16.308171, "activity_lines": [ 20.784, 21.015636, 21.270243, 20.888708 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 22.35, "volume": 2075134, "typical_volume": 2327498.7, "trend": 20.377136, "fair_value": 16.117269, "relative_strength": 10.286822, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.245161, "energy": 23.164673, "activity_lines": [ 21.412, 21.194545, 21.41008, 21.026991 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 20.67, "volume": 2026693, "typical_volume": 2180328.15, "trend": 20.471793, "fair_value": 16.163942, "relative_strength": -1.596162, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 24.151268, "energy": 16.232467, "activity_lines": [ 21.331333, 21.082182, 21.368773, 21.045886 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }