{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "1da39232-c1f1-4c1a-a364-442be2e4993e",
    "symbol": "PBE",
    "name": "INVESCO EXCHANGE TRADED FD TR BIOTECHNOLOGY & GENOME ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 77.692,
    "architecture_energy": 64.33,
    "architecture_maturity": 33.79,
    "architecture_confidence": 86.237,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 13.43,
        "rotation_up": 62.81,
        "upward_expansion": 84.13,
        "deceleration": 64.05,
        "rotation_down": 21.82,
        "downward_expansion": 10.79
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        84.874744
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 92.7617,
    "trend_reference": 82.959973,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.11815,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 69.046679,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.343464,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 4.085367,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.11117,
    "excess_performance": -0.014455,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.11815,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.032279,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.343464,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.123934,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.040854,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.05505,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.11117,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 6.68981,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 869838,
      "relative_activity": 12.126735,
      "balance": 6.68981,
      "dry_up": 3.25797,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.033104,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.183544,
      "from_high_reference": -0.013803,
      "from_low_reference": 0.445513
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 82.959973,
      "fair_value_reference": 69.046679,
      "structural_low": 75.5001,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 20,
        "median_return": -0.001698,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.022914,
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        "worst_return": -0.065846,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.071646,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "typical_volume": 33919.8,
        "trend": 78.910275,
        "fair_value": 66.669925,
        "relative_strength": -1.248337,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -1.272727,
        "energy": 12.040566,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 34682.6,
        "trend": 79.132429,
        "fair_value": 66.77588,
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        "stage": 3,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 81.600719,
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        "typical_volume": 34212.5,
        "trend": 79.521427,
        "fair_value": 66.911617,
        "relative_strength": -1.419624,
        "stage": 3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 32351.55,
        "trend": 79.798374,
        "fair_value": 67.029013,
        "relative_strength": -3.498657,
        "stage": 3,
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        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 8.882082,
        "activity_lines": [
          80.244863,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 81.371017,
        "volume": 42190,
        "typical_volume": 33362.45,
        "trend": 80.078032,
        "fair_value": 67.165963,
        "relative_strength": -2.855134,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 24.863156,
        "energy": 18.102586,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 83.009741,
        "volume": 11920,
        "typical_volume": 32400.8,
        "trend": 80.365862,
        "fair_value": 67.305308,
        "relative_strength": -2.377499,
        "stage": 3,
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        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 26.841338,
        "energy": 31.681435,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 82.687127,
        "volume": 24465,
        "typical_volume": 31575.9,
        "trend": 80.600213,
        "fair_value": 67.44041,
        "relative_strength": -0.313498,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 23.516396,
        "energy": 37.888521,
        "activity_lines": [
          82.091987,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 83.301649,
        "volume": 43664,
        "typical_volume": 31894.75,
        "trend": 80.800383,
        "fair_value": 67.576011,
        "relative_strength": -0.230056,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 28.300781,
        "energy": 46.950163,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 83.838414,
        "volume": 16838,
        "typical_volume": 30217.05,
        "trend": 80.940198,
        "fair_value": 67.723402,
        "relative_strength": -0.599357,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 38.425047,
        "energy": 53.136481,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 89.6886,
        "volume": 54498,
        "typical_volume": 31220.0,
        "trend": 81.169224,
        "fair_value": 67.910344,
        "relative_strength": 8.589998,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 89.102197,
        "energy": 80.545906,
        "activity_lines": [
          85.472373,
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          81.745671,
          81.365504
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 92.0429,
        "volume": 24096,
        "typical_volume": 31391.15,
        "trend": 81.529599,
        "fair_value": 68.122485,
        "relative_strength": 8.737979,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 92.460432,
        "energy": 92.678543,
        "activity_lines": [
          87.984971,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 91.1733,
        "volume": 74641,
        "typical_volume": 34381.4,
        "trend": 81.899528,
        "fair_value": 68.310957,
        "relative_strength": 5.998918,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.865072,
        "energy": 91.80807,
        "activity_lines": [
          89.605492,
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          83.774964,
          82.689206
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 91.0275,
        "volume": 10018,
        "typical_volume": 33621.35,
        "trend": 82.193721,
        "fair_value": 68.488658,
        "relative_strength": 7.130538,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.699993,
        "energy": 89.500332,
        "activity_lines": [
          90.611668,
          87.948224,
          84.664341,
          83.278108
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 89.5925,
        "volume": 37520,
        "typical_volume": 32876.8,
        "trend": 82.389139,
        "fair_value": 68.660305,
        "relative_strength": 5.769176,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.59595,
        "energy": 86.60224,
        "activity_lines": [
          90.624453,
          88.633479,
          85.373526,
          83.755448
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 89.6108,
        "volume": 17387,
        "typical_volume": 31254.0,
        "trend": 82.634274,
        "fair_value": 68.845965,
        "relative_strength": 4.39199,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.60744,
        "energy": 60.821002,
        "activity_lines": [
          90.259733,
          89.149393,
          86.027806,
          84.221362
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 92.7617,
        "volume": 869838,
        "typical_volume": 71728.95,
        "trend": 82.959973,
        "fair_value": 69.046679,
        "relative_strength": 4.085367,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.691742,
        "energy": 64.329694,
        "activity_lines": [
          90.9505,
          90.088383,
          86.917826,
          84.874744
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}