{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "1daa1fd3-47ec-4883-af79-25535c2ada24",
    "symbol": "FJAN",
    "name": "FT VEST U.S. EQUITY BUFFER ETF - JANUARY",
    "exchange": "CBOE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 52.296,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 86.259,
    "architecture_energy": 72.185,
    "architecture_maturity": 43.492,
    "architecture_confidence": 75.76,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 9.39,
        "rotation_up": 64.4,
        "upward_expansion": 88.73,
        "deceleration": 51.56,
        "rotation_down": 25.41,
        "downward_expansion": 13.07
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        54.92645,
        54.188774
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 56.36,
    "trend_reference": 53.361153,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.056199,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 45.981787,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.225703,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -3.554568,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.078248,
    "excess_performance": -0.047377,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.056199,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.025514,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.225703,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.001213,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.035546,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.000976,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.078248,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.482041,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 89657,
      "relative_activity": 0.409177,
      "balance": 0.482041,
      "dry_up": 0.343486,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.012233,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.084259,
      "from_high_reference": -0.000177,
      "from_low_reference": 0.162302
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 53.361153,
      "fair_value_reference": 45.981787,
      "structural_low": 49.23,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 38,
        "median_return": 0.010713,
        "positive_rate": 0.763158,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.763158,
        "median_excess_return": -0.004085,
        "regime_survival": 0.842105,
        "best_return": 0.04246,
        "worst_return": -0.036796,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 13,
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        "positive_rate": 0.846154,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.846154,
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        "regime_survival": 0.769231,
        "best_return": 0.089144,
        "worst_return": -0.022528,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.068557,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
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        "worst_return": 0.016808,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": 0.121434,
        "sufficient": false
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    ],
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        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-05-10",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.087321,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-05-30",
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        "return": 0.012313,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": -2.631136,
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 229877.9,
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        "fair_value": 45.632431,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 55.055,
        "volume": 58777,
        "typical_volume": 223389.4,
        "trend": 53.097383,
        "fair_value": 45.743038,
        "relative_strength": -1.605481,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "direction": 63.534094,
        "energy": 65.371709,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 55.5027,
        "volume": 71759,
        "typical_volume": 220396.3,
        "trend": 53.221487,
        "fair_value": 45.859543,
        "relative_strength": -1.793605,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.099046,
        "energy": 64.12188,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 56.36,
        "volume": 89657,
        "typical_volume": 219115.65,
        "trend": 53.361153,
        "fair_value": 45.981787,
        "relative_strength": -3.554568,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.259312,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}