{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1db1083d-e822-4bca-acf0-ca743a1eccea", "symbol": "3178", "name": "Gongin Precision Ind. Co., Ltd", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 75.238, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -18.428, "architecture_energy": 43.736, "architecture_maturity": 6.984, "architecture_confidence": 68.971, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 50.2, "rotation_up": 17.99, "upward_expansion": 25.95, "deceleration": 47.71, "rotation_down": 59.36, "downward_expansion": 48.62 }, "activity_lines": [ 59.046665, 61.578181, 64.272857, 64.098279 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 59.099998, "trend_reference": 63.026667, "distance_from_trend": -0.062302, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 74.140689, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.202867, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -29.476607, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.038664, "excess_performance": -0.402708, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.062302, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.05649, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.202867, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.072998, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.294766, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.093731, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.038664, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.647753, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 336045, "relative_activity": 0.315347, "balance": 1.647753, "dry_up": 0.473053, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.125992, "annualized_volatility": 0.444945, "from_high_reference": -0.249047, "from_low_reference": 0.270968 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 63.026667, "fair_value_reference": 74.140689, "structural_low": 51.5, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.052448, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.001498, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.267191, "worst_return": -0.055637, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.239596, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.073839, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.388998, "worst_return": -0.232796, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.440374, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.149846, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.581532, "worst_return": -0.076135, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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66.834762, 65.310323 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 54.299999, "volume": 656138, "typical_volume": 1073403.95, "trend": 63.173334, "fair_value": 74.514668, "relative_strength": -32.905361, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -31.360661, "energy": 28.123319, "activity_lines": [ 62.4, 63.885454, 65.738095, 64.731613 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 57.299999, "volume": 386000, "typical_volume": 1076795.95, "trend": 63.043334, "fair_value": 74.31768, "relative_strength": -30.022961, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -24.41854, "energy": 39.006772, "activity_lines": [ 60.133333, 62.441818, 64.929047, 64.352688 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 59.099998, "volume": 336045, "typical_volume": 1065634.2, "trend": 63.026667, "fair_value": 74.140689, "relative_strength": -29.476607, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -18.427629, "energy": 43.73612, "activity_lines": [ 59.046665, 61.578181, 64.272857, 64.098279 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }