{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "1db89487-1b48-42cf-b0a3-1e5d9e724f8e",
    "symbol": "PSMR",
    "name": "PACER SWAN SOS MODERATE (APRIL) ETF",
    "exchange": "CBOE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 65.687,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 88.277,
    "architecture_energy": 75.936,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 81.292,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 6.28,
        "rotation_up": 65.45,
        "upward_expansion": 88.65,
        "deceleration": 52.32,
        "rotation_down": 27.53,
        "downward_expansion": 12.98
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        32.424607,
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        32.099159,
        31.726486
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 32.6561,
    "trend_reference": 31.204133,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.046531,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 27.690932,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.179307,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -4.301099,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.08999,
    "excess_performance": -0.035635,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.046531,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.02836,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.179307,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.001896,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.043011,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.003568,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.08999,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 5.510126,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 894,
      "relative_activity": 0.051458,
      "balance": 5.510126,
      "dry_up": 0.049746,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.006977,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.042334,
      "from_high_reference": 0.0,
      "from_low_reference": 0.136655
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 31.204133,
      "fair_value_reference": 27.690932,
      "structural_low": 29.65,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 39,
        "median_return": 0.008504,
        "positive_rate": 0.846154,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.846154,
        "median_excess_return": -0.005922,
        "regime_survival": 0.820513,
        "best_return": 0.031856,
        "worst_return": -0.050782,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.923077,
        "median_excess_return": -0.014449,
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        "worst_return": -0.021453,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.857143,
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        "regime_survival": 0.857143,
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        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": 0.049238,
        "sufficient": false
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": -2.931105,
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "stage": 2,
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "relative_strength": -2.691355,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 18013.25,
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        "fair_value": 27.467197,
        "relative_strength": -3.404358,
        "stage": 2,
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.454453,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 32.235,
        "volume": 197,
        "typical_volume": 17893.45,
        "trend": 30.947403,
        "fair_value": 27.521973,
        "relative_strength": -2.090986,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.380283,
        "energy": 69.766846,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.198473,
          32.123056,
          31.850616,
          31.456016
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 32.21,
        "volume": 565,
        "typical_volume": 17393.05,
        "trend": 31.026213,
        "fair_value": 27.575908,
        "relative_strength": -1.503709,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.27216,
        "energy": 79.506892,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.216653,
          32.149016,
          31.923626,
          31.537474
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 32.4124,
        "volume": 1801,
        "typical_volume": 17343.75,
        "trend": 31.112597,
        "fair_value": 27.632674,
        "relative_strength": -1.828359,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.93675,
        "energy": 82.426464,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.298093,
          32.205776,
          32.005417,
          31.626905
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 32.6561,
        "volume": 894,
        "typical_volume": 17373.3,
        "trend": 31.204133,
        "fair_value": 27.690932,
        "relative_strength": -4.301099,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 88.277392,
        "energy": 75.936,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.424607,
          32.298711,
          32.099159,
          31.726486
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}