{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "1dc50d3a-81d0-42ce-98af-9b19ec9ba273",
    "symbol": "ESGG",
    "name": "FLEXSHARES STOXX GLOBAL ESG SELECT INDEX FUND",
    "exchange": "CBOE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 88.341,
    "architecture_energy": 69.68,
    "architecture_maturity": 61.538,
    "architecture_confidence": 90.058,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 8.87,
        "rotation_up": 62.93,
        "upward_expansion": 87.44,
        "deceleration": 62.3,
        "rotation_down": 26.91,
        "downward_expansion": 11.77
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        229.267258,
        223.924536
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 241.1398,
    "trend_reference": 217.853019,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.106892,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 175.319,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.375434,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 2.977142,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.140944,
    "excess_performance": 0.015319,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.106892,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.048865,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.375434,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.045815,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.029771,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.025733,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.140944,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.254655,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 3995,
      "relative_activity": 1.109537,
      "balance": 2.254655,
      "dry_up": 0.780217,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.021138,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.135333,
      "from_high_reference": 0.0,
      "from_low_reference": 0.284574
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 217.853019,
      "fair_value_reference": 175.319,
      "structural_low": 193.353013,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 44,
        "median_return": 0.013544,
        "positive_rate": 0.681818,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.681818,
        "median_excess_return": -0.00159,
        "regime_survival": 0.795455,
        "best_return": 0.066395,
        "worst_return": -0.118161,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 15,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
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        "regime_survival": 0.8,
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        "worst_return": -0.069128,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.888889,
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        "worst_return": -0.184662,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.139298,
        "sufficient": false
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    ],
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 3647.7,
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        "fair_value": 173.99957,
        "relative_strength": 3.492495,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 232.9912,
        "volume": 1917,
        "typical_volume": 3595.65,
        "trend": 216.712559,
        "fair_value": 174.633237,
        "relative_strength": 3.077199,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.640134,
        "energy": 57.870438,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 241.1398,
        "volume": 3995,
        "typical_volume": 3600.6,
        "trend": 217.853019,
        "fair_value": 175.319,
        "relative_strength": 2.977142,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 88.341155,
        "energy": 69.679741,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}