{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1dc80db8-a123-4201-b677-27128b310f7d", "symbol": "002896", "name": "Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 81.219, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -43.356, "architecture_energy": 46.741, "architecture_maturity": 5.56, "architecture_confidence": 88.151, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.62, "rotation_up": 16.09, "upward_expansion": 14.13, "deceleration": 34.07, "rotation_down": 61.18, "downward_expansion": 82.8 }, "activity_lines": [ 69.634, 72.296981, 74.507514, 75.333531 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 78.970001, "trend_reference": 77.459747, "distance_from_trend": 0.019497, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 51.282209, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.53991, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -8.240678, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.032586, "excess_performance": -0.039986, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.019497, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.041779, "read": "Falling" 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58.509998, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": -0.010088, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.003467, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.449607, "worst_return": -0.194136, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.09683, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.015115, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 1.328602, "worst_return": -0.165131, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.96241, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.869582, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 1.254861, "worst_return": -0.206928, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"activity_lines": [ 74.617179, 76.922204, 76.622168, 77.385568 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 59.389999, "volume": 36084099, "typical_volume": 38977119.55, "trend": 78.463413, "fair_value": 50.709441, "relative_strength": -29.256566, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.740234, "energy": 59.240374, "activity_lines": [ 69.008409, 73.490523, 75.033394, 76.111563 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 65.239998, "volume": 32262663, "typical_volume": 39440520.1, "trend": 77.80608, "fair_value": 50.945352, "relative_strength": -20.517795, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.643547, "energy": 62.399515, "activity_lines": [ 66.868025, 71.508116, 74.088859, 75.258439 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 78.970001, "volume": 97012323, "typical_volume": 43591694.9, "trend": 77.459747, "fair_value": 51.282209, "relative_strength": -8.240678, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.355915, "energy": 46.741388, "activity_lines": [ 69.634, 72.296981, 74.507514, 75.333531 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }