{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "1dca7d60-0d8b-45d9-baa7-5d97abfafb9c",
    "symbol": "XDV",
    "name": "iShares Canadian Select Dividend Index ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 71.191,
    "architecture_energy": 69.468,
    "architecture_maturity": 61.509,
    "architecture_confidence": 83.172,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 1.04,
        "rotation_up": 69.8,
        "upward_expansion": 90.0,
        "deceleration": 60.66,
        "rotation_down": 22.93,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        45.45832
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 48.639999,
    "trend_reference": 43.803652,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.11041,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 32.700589,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.487435,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 5.371189,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.206848,
    "excess_performance": 0.086427,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.11041,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.068442,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.487435,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.070351,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.053712,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.027263,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.206848,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.963188,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 197600,
      "relative_activity": 1.536906,
      "balance": 0.963188,
      "dry_up": 1.370265,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.015996,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.088674,
      "from_high_reference": -0.007347,
      "from_low_reference": 0.423127
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 32.700589,
      "structural_low": 40.162521,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 40,
        "median_return": 0.012724,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
        "median_excess_return": -0.001748,
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        "worst_return": -0.077272,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "sufficient": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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        "relative_strength": 6.891565,
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        "direction": 82.341987,
        "energy": 93.465335,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 47.209366,
        "volume": 18300,
        "typical_volume": 143335.0,
        "trend": 42.355306,
        "fair_value": 31.961608,
        "relative_strength": 6.377897,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.91069,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 47.827785,
        "volume": 111300,
        "typical_volume": 135655.0,
        "trend": 42.621844,
        "fair_value": 32.104469,
        "relative_strength": 7.470806,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.673768,
        "energy": 94.660474,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 48.625744,
        "volume": 121500,
        "typical_volume": 132090.0,
        "trend": 42.90449,
        "fair_value": 32.250463,
        "relative_strength": 9.205534,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 90.678971,
        "energy": 94.670986,
        "activity_lines": [
          47.80576,
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          45.5632,
          44.402779
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 48.565895,
        "volume": 183900,
        "typical_volume": 130700.0,
        "trend": 43.181079,
        "fair_value": 32.398063,
        "relative_strength": 8.576547,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.887853,
        "energy": 82.473788,
        "activity_lines": [
          48.150957,
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          45.978436,
          44.768031
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 48.740002,
        "volume": 201700,
        "typical_volume": 127175.0,
        "trend": 43.499441,
        "fair_value": 32.549237,
        "relative_strength": 9.225725,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.802578,
        "energy": 72.246936,
        "activity_lines": [
          48.447051,
          47.825831,
          46.376359,
          45.126671
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 48.639999,
        "volume": 197600,
        "typical_volume": 128570.0,
        "trend": 43.803652,
        "fair_value": 32.700589,
        "relative_strength": 5.371189,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.191269,
        "energy": 69.46822,
        "activity_lines": [
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          48.087659,
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          45.45832
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}