{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "1dd33009-a5db-4f24-a22e-0ca1dee457e8",
    "symbol": "ZFH",
    "name": "BMO Floating Rate High Yield ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 65.629,
    "architecture_energy": 42.945,
    "architecture_maturity": 53.124,
    "architecture_confidence": 46.615,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 31.08,
        "rotation_up": 43.3,
        "upward_expansion": 72.72,
        "deceleration": 69.31,
        "rotation_down": 28.13,
        "downward_expansion": 10.72
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        15.095939,
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        15.068046,
        15.007309
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 15.13,
    "trend_reference": 14.9449,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.012385,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 13.860843,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.091564,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -9.821905,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.019,
    "excess_performance": -0.101421,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.012385,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.004007,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.091564,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.015979,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.098219,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.002166,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.019,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.272066,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 54000,
      "relative_activity": 0.874777,
      "balance": 1.272066,
      "dry_up": 1.114126,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.005134,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.032873,
      "from_high_reference": -0.001979,
      "from_low_reference": 0.044383
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 14.9449,
      "fair_value_reference": 13.860843,
      "structural_low": 14.487025,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 45,
        "median_return": 0.005468,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.004773,
        "regime_survival": 0.844444,
        "best_return": 0.024728,
        "worst_return": -0.045487,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 16,
        "median_return": 0.020491,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.014064,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
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        "worst_return": -0.028393,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 9,
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        "positive_rate": 0.888889,
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        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.063646,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": -0.057782,
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      }
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        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2023-04-21",
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      {
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        "close": 15.002648,
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        "typical_volume": 99783.0,
        "trend": 14.839547,
        "fair_value": 13.505271,
        "relative_strength": -11.702203,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -3.455547,
        "energy": 14.236557,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "typical_volume": 99120.85,
        "trend": 14.848369,
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        "relative_strength": -9.938414,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 100741.15,
        "trend": 14.854693,
        "fair_value": 13.552352,
        "relative_strength": -9.774358,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
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        "direction": 25.332752,
        "energy": 39.275216,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 102161.1,
        "trend": 14.863157,
        "fair_value": 13.576375,
        "relative_strength": -9.605285,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 32.010555,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 103411.6,
        "trend": 14.873568,
        "fair_value": 13.599891,
        "relative_strength": -8.751867,
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        "gate": "mixed",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 103065.0,
        "trend": 14.878432,
        "fair_value": 13.623103,
        "relative_strength": -9.989069,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.263957,
        "energy": 54.51885,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 15.080158,
        "volume": 88300,
        "typical_volume": 101550.0,
        "trend": 14.885251,
        "fair_value": 13.645931,
        "relative_strength": -9.993907,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 68.837611,
        "energy": 50.150393,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 21100,
        "typical_volume": 92905.0,
        "trend": 14.892708,
        "fair_value": 13.66766,
        "relative_strength": -8.928902,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 59.249096,
        "energy": 43.277824,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 15.11004,
        "volume": 16000,
        "typical_volume": 88485.0,
        "trend": 14.901506,
        "fair_value": 13.689995,
        "relative_strength": -9.497224,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 69.174027,
        "energy": 54.32087,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "typical_volume": 81500.0,
        "trend": 14.91228,
        "fair_value": 13.712773,
        "relative_strength": -9.060232,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 9300,
        "typical_volume": 74790.0,
        "trend": 14.915295,
        "fair_value": 13.734332,
        "relative_strength": -9.103755,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.546075,
        "energy": 58.216935,
        "activity_lines": [
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          14.98249,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 1300,
        "typical_volume": 66475.0,
        "trend": 14.919635,
        "fair_value": 13.756347,
        "relative_strength": -9.203012,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.283404,
        "energy": 62.353107,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 15.109722,
        "volume": 75600,
        "typical_volume": 67530.0,
        "trend": 14.922992,
        "fair_value": 13.77764,
        "relative_strength": -8.823239,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.02978,
        "energy": 65.232851,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.09717,
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          14.965702
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 15.089802,
        "volume": 62600,
        "typical_volume": 64820.0,
        "trend": 14.927003,
        "fair_value": 13.798326,
        "relative_strength": -8.442293,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.948907,
        "energy": 55.208228,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.093807,
          15.08718,
          15.032797,
          14.976464
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 15.059921,
        "volume": 100200,
        "typical_volume": 64765.0,
        "trend": 14.928041,
        "fair_value": 13.818901,
        "relative_strength": -8.498264,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 47.865945,
        "energy": 39.380886,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.081834,
          15.084748,
          15.043473,
          14.985039
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 15.08,
        "volume": 58300,
        "typical_volume": 63045.0,
        "trend": 14.93678,
        "fair_value": 13.839819,
        "relative_strength": -7.591132,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 44.926803,
        "energy": 35.81457,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.081222,
          15.084999,
          15.054493,
          14.994843
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 15.13,
        "volume": 54000,
        "typical_volume": 61730.0,
        "trend": 14.9449,
        "fair_value": 13.860843,
        "relative_strength": -9.821905,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.628893,
        "energy": 42.945469,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.095939,
          15.093187,
          15.068046,
          15.007309
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}