{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1dd88a4f-7b27-4bad-9d0d-9c4f5e99271d", "symbol": "FF", "name": "First Mining Gold Corp.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 78.065, "architecture_energy": 47.601, "architecture_maturity": 56.181, "architecture_confidence": 59.249, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.44, "rotation_up": 53.37, "upward_expansion": 72.42, "deceleration": 70.43, "rotation_down": 21.7, "downward_expansion": 10.42 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.653333, 0.642727, 0.586476, 0.565978 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.74, "trend_reference": 0.560167, "distance_from_trend": 0.321035, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.250718, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.951524, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 41.136338, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.254237, "excess_performance": 0.133816, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.321035, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.093364, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.951524, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.643627, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.411363, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.179028, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.254237, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.701024, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 19605800, "relative_activity": 1.826112, "balance": 0.701024, "dry_up": 1.278376, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.108836, "annualized_volatility": 0.846269, "from_high_reference": -0.139535, "from_low_reference": 3.484848 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.560167, "fair_value_reference": 0.250718, "structural_low": 0.38, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.079832, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": -0.101384, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.214286, "worst_return": -0.239583, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.106092, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.127822, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.321429, "worst_return": -0.385417, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.235294, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.32056, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.178571, "worst_return": -0.375, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"orange", "start": "2024-12-27", "end": "2025-01-03", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.04, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-01-10", "end": "2025-03-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.041667, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-03-14", "end": "2025-03-21", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.035714, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-03-28", "end": "2025-04-25", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.214286, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-02", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.090909, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-08-29", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.212121, "active": false }, { 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0.546935 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.62, "volume": 10816700, "typical_volume": 11096590.0, "trend": 0.551167, "fair_value": 0.244212, "relative_strength": 25.774914, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.570882, "energy": 66.884657, "activity_lines": [ 0.642667, 0.611909, 0.560476, 0.551484 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.59, "volume": 10555800, "typical_volume": 11092230.0, "trend": 0.554167, "fair_value": 0.247, "relative_strength": 18.435717, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 28.241949, "energy": 27.196584, "activity_lines": [ 0.62, 0.614818, 0.5665, 0.553989 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.74, "volume": 19605800, "typical_volume": 10736360.0, "trend": 0.560167, "fair_value": 0.250718, "relative_strength": 41.136338, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.0646, "energy": 47.601359, "activity_lines": [ 0.653333, 0.642727, 0.586476, 0.565978 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }