{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1dee2496-5bbc-4e1f-9454-2b6f4209b023", "symbol": "600789", "name": "Shandong Lukang Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -41.277, "architecture_energy": 27.811, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 85.467, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.06, "rotation_up": 27.76, "upward_expansion": 17.51, "deceleration": 47.0, "rotation_down": 28.83, "downward_expansion": 65.17 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.300792, 7.162232, 7.406497, 7.7024 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 7.51, "trend_reference": 8.140572, "distance_from_trend": -0.07746, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 8.2738, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.092316, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -14.943999, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.191604, "excess_performance": -0.1484, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.07746, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.09509, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.092316, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.125722, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.14944, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.052585, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.191604, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.785923, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 124524917, "relative_activity": 1.779071, "balance": 0.785923, "dry_up": 1.88264, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.056003, "annualized_volatility": 0.189249, "from_high_reference": -0.310376, "from_low_reference": 0.140651 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.140572, "fair_value_reference": 8.2738, "structural_low": 6.583959, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 30, "median_return": 0.000606, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.466667, "median_excess_return": 0.009081, "regime_survival": 0.766667, "best_return": 0.410049, "worst_return": -0.146648, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.004825, "positive_rate": 0.363636, "directional_follow_through": 0.636364, "median_excess_return": 0.032831, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.256452, "worst_return": -0.133333, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.086052, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.078548, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.187238, "worst_return": -0.165824, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-05-31", "end": "2024-06-21", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.068084, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-06-28", "end": "2024-10-18", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.154286, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-10-25", "end": "2025-01-31", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.064549, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-02-07", "end": "2025-02-21", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.038038, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-02-28", "end": "2025-08-22", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.135077, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-29", "end": "2025-09-12", 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"relative_strength": -17.42846, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.834039, "energy": 65.278758, "activity_lines": [ 6.973898, 7.116986, 7.539456, 7.882123 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.1, "volume": 125550396, "typical_volume": 65786825.35, "trend": 8.251905, "fair_value": 8.260062, "relative_strength": -18.363254, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.319213, "energy": 57.318773, "activity_lines": [ 7.022773, 7.072311, 7.465565, 7.803269 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.37, "volume": 98497016, "typical_volume": 66633929.25, "trend": 8.191572, "fair_value": 8.266916, "relative_strength": -14.949835, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.716107, "energy": 41.772045, "activity_lines": [ 7.158361, 7.097817, 7.425816, 7.746372 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.51, "volume": 124524917, "typical_volume": 69994352.15, "trend": 8.140572, "fair_value": 8.2738, "relative_strength": -14.943999, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.276578, "energy": 27.810708, "activity_lines": [ 7.300792, 7.162232, 7.406497, 7.7024 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }