{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "1df8192a-a502-4953-8382-efbf2bfbc30f",
    "symbol": "NIL-B",
    "name": "Nil\u00f6rngruppen AB (publ)",
    "exchange": "STO",
    "country": "SE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^OMX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 67.323,
    "architecture_energy": 88.541,
    "architecture_maturity": 59.008,
    "architecture_confidence": 93.586,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 6.67,
        "rotation_up": 56.81,
        "upward_expansion": 95.33,
        "deceleration": 44.67,
        "rotation_down": 30.0,
        "downward_expansion": 22.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        75.046668,
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 74.800003,
    "trend_reference": 63.654107,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.175101,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 61.516218,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.21594,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 9.953239,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.211369,
    "excess_performance": 0.149874,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.175101,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.077846,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.21594,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.01429,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.099532,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.063569,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.211369,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.491701,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 3791,
      "relative_activity": 0.023707,
      "balance": 1.491701,
      "dry_up": 0.13402,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.009253,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.637198,
      "from_high_reference": -0.019659,
      "from_low_reference": 0.589921
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 63.654107,
      "fair_value_reference": 61.516218,
      "structural_low": 47.046358,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 22,
        "median_return": 0.012045,
        "positive_rate": 0.590909,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.590909,
        "median_excess_return": 0.00905,
        "regime_survival": 0.727273,
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        "worst_return": -0.17931,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.290265,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "regime_survival": 0.4,
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        "worst_return": -0.16,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 190775.25,
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        "fair_value": 61.108619,
        "relative_strength": 17.141491,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.226301,
        "energy": 69.005375,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 74.800003,
        "volume": 14200,
        "typical_volume": 188420.55,
        "trend": 62.904416,
        "fair_value": 61.255099,
        "relative_strength": 14.250998,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 65.629741,
        "energy": 75.910762,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 75.5,
        "volume": 1718,
        "typical_volume": 161722.55,
        "trend": 63.268059,
        "fair_value": 61.394562,
        "relative_strength": 13.413158,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.487307,
        "energy": 73.003174,
        "activity_lines": [
          75.100001,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 74.800003,
        "volume": 3791,
        "typical_volume": 159909.35,
        "trend": 63.654107,
        "fair_value": 61.516218,
        "relative_strength": 9.953239,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.322988,
        "energy": 88.541494,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}