{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1dfd825a-0704-4015-87a1-021a77465f0b", "symbol": "300984", "name": "Zhejiang JW Precision Machinery Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -58.87, "architecture_energy": 64.047, "architecture_maturity": 31.489, "architecture_confidence": 84.817, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.41, "rotation_up": 10.46, "upward_expansion": 13.87, "deceleration": 38.0, "rotation_down": 65.69, "downward_expansion": 84.87 }, "activity_lines": [ 34.288001, 36.554404, 39.545406, 41.04801 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 34.580002, "trend_reference": 44.254927, "distance_from_trend": -0.218618, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 27.775797, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.244969, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -26.186831, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.348919, "excess_performance": -0.356319, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.218618, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.056749, "read": "Falling" 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27.459999, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.042573, "positive_rate": 0.727273, "directional_follow_through": 0.272727, "median_excess_return": 0.027533, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.459845, "worst_return": -0.134621, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.241059, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.104121, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.454238, "worst_return": 0.046751, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.287985, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.313268, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 2.600316, "worst_return": 0.238385, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }