{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1e16db40-b398-40cf-811d-b01e440c448b", "symbol": "C1DW34", "name": "CDW Corporation", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 67.667, "architecture_energy": 86.305, "architecture_maturity": 27.851, "architecture_confidence": 68.388, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.49, "rotation_up": 78.14, "upward_expansion": 97.43, "deceleration": 41.91, "rotation_down": 9.9, "downward_expansion": 21.77 }, "activity_lines": [ 35.5, 35.057091, 32.920147, 32.426196 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 35.5, "trend_reference": 32.327586, "distance_from_trend": 0.098133, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 47.930894, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.25935, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -5.487132, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.005457, "excess_performance": 0.062505, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.098133, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.014622, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.25935, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.211038, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.054871, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.414521, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.005457, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.677419, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5, "relative_activity": 0.980392, "balance": 0.677419, "dry_up": 0.245098, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.033468, "annualized_volatility": 0.644766, "from_high_reference": -0.213795, "from_low_reference": 0.471406 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 32.327586, "fair_value_reference": 47.930894, "structural_low": 24.126577, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.004386, "positive_rate": 0.222222, "directional_follow_through": 0.222222, "median_excess_return": -0.005562, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.16465, "worst_return": -0.163021, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.007076, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.109241, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.177106, "worst_return": -0.16929, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.025824, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.008123, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.163532, "worst_return": -0.276837, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-07-05", "end": "2024-10-25", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.026588, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-11-01", "end": "2024-11-29", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.057334, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-12-06", "end": "2025-02-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.07276, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-02-14", "end": "2025-02-21", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-02-28", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.154068, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-07-18", 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"fair_value": 48.115913, "relative_strength": -13.225078, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 44.057148, "energy": 69.78137, "activity_lines": [ 34.407333, 32.455483, 31.321486, 31.590988 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 35.5, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 435.1, "trend": 32.250764, "fair_value": 48.069658, "relative_strength": -9.729267, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 40.041389, "energy": 68.948347, "activity_lines": [ 34.852, 33.391938, 31.746927, 31.802268 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 35.5, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 5.05, "trend": 32.276371, "fair_value": 48.023403, "relative_strength": -8.615672, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 45.066454, "energy": 69.417663, "activity_lines": [ 35.21, 34.153091, 32.15535, 32.011896 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 35.5, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 5.05, "trend": 32.301979, "fair_value": 47.977149, "relative_strength": -9.309921, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 42.16364, "energy": 60.00674, "activity_lines": [ 35.403333, 34.707454, 32.546423, 32.219873 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 35.5, "volume": 5, "typical_volume": 5.1, "trend": 32.327586, "fair_value": 47.930894, "relative_strength": -5.487132, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.667285, "energy": 86.304796, "activity_lines": [ 35.5, 35.057091, 32.920147, 32.426196 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }