{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "1e257efa-affe-4e7c-bde2-7f1c8176f759",
    "symbol": "EWRD",
    "name": "BNP Paribas Easy MSCI World SRI PAB UCITS ETF Capitalisation",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 88.973,
    "architecture_energy": 68.09,
    "architecture_maturity": 62.755,
    "architecture_confidence": 76.088,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 18.86,
        "rotation_up": 55.56,
        "upward_expansion": 82.5,
        "deceleration": 68.72,
        "rotation_down": 28.01,
        "downward_expansion": 11.5
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        22.235553,
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        21.856626,
        21.481315
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 22.8689,
    "trend_reference": 21.09803,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.083935,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 18.502744,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.235973,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 3.558042,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.111425,
    "excess_performance": 0.058113,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.083935,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.032137,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.235973,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.04565,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.03558,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.019737,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.111425,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.437185,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 15027,
      "relative_activity": 1.085256,
      "balance": 2.437185,
      "dry_up": 0.813509,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.015641,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.138797,
      "from_high_reference": 0.0,
      "from_low_reference": 0.203626
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 21.09803,
      "fair_value_reference": 18.502744,
      "structural_low": 19.0,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 38,
        "median_return": 0.005507,
        "positive_rate": 0.552632,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.552632,
        "median_excess_return": -0.005473,
        "regime_survival": 0.789474,
        "best_return": 0.086255,
        "worst_return": -0.09937,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.129654,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 9,
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        "worst_return": -0.198032,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.119932,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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        "typical_volume": 14325.85,
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        "fair_value": 18.380526,
        "relative_strength": 4.396414,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "energy": 81.243492,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 13464.9,
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        "fair_value": 18.416767,
        "relative_strength": 2.679188,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 21.8955,
        "volume": 7188,
        "typical_volume": 13419.15,
        "trend": 21.02813,
        "fair_value": 18.455987,
        "relative_strength": 1.604377,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 50.165119,
        "energy": 49.778053,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.95648,
          21.970884,
          21.703193,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 22.8689,
        "volume": 15027,
        "typical_volume": 13846.5,
        "trend": 21.09803,
        "fair_value": 18.502744,
        "relative_strength": 3.558042,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 88.973299,
        "energy": 68.090097,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}