{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "1e2cf405-662c-4396-a9fd-5b852d635653",
    "symbol": "SIE",
    "name": "Siemens Aktiengesellschaft",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 77.146,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 65.65,
    "architecture_energy": 46.617,
    "architecture_maturity": 55.709,
    "architecture_confidence": 63.024,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 11.12,
        "rotation_up": 49.32,
        "upward_expansion": 80.34,
        "deceleration": 64.29,
        "rotation_down": 26.67,
        "downward_expansion": 7.01
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        277.02667,
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        269.44881,
        260.69503
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 280.700012,
    "trend_reference": 252.622582,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.111144,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 196.416442,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.429106,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -5.684396,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.14608,
    "excess_performance": -0.028167,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.111144,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.059388,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.429106,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.002745,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.056844,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.034878,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.14608,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.591061,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1422,
      "relative_activity": 2.348666,
      "balance": 0.591061,
      "dry_up": 1.807746,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.045271,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.309147,
      "from_high_reference": -0.034898,
      "from_low_reference": 0.4073
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 252.622582,
      "fair_value_reference": 196.416442,
      "structural_low": 199.460007,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 35,
        "median_return": 0.013241,
        "positive_rate": 0.542857,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.542857,
        "median_excess_return": -0.013774,
        "regime_survival": 0.742857,
        "best_return": 0.122137,
        "worst_return": -0.119896,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.001354,
        "regime_survival": 0.583333,
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        "worst_return": -0.204814,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
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        "regime_survival": 0.428571,
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        "worst_return": -0.183042,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.244552,
        "sufficient": false
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 25.362483,
        "energy": 31.605369,
        "activity_lines": [
          243.193335,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 264.799988,
        "volume": 1158,
        "typical_volume": 503.3,
        "trend": 235.46428,
        "fair_value": 185.647207,
        "relative_strength": -2.196597,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.461407,
        "energy": 54.21205,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 523.7,
        "trend": 236.385097,
        "fair_value": 186.364895,
        "relative_strength": -3.216736,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.577412,
        "energy": 70.957318,
        "activity_lines": [
          256.759994,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 269.75,
        "volume": 1158,
        "typical_volume": 581.5,
        "trend": 237.424883,
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        "relative_strength": -1.773262,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.317123,
        "energy": 78.391842,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "volume": 408,
        "typical_volume": 583.6,
        "trend": 238.46098,
        "fair_value": 187.951387,
        "relative_strength": -3.686411,
        "stage": 2,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 80,
        "typical_volume": 562.75,
        "trend": 239.690797,
        "fair_value": 188.730251,
        "relative_strength": -3.611748,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 76.441028,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 264.0,
        "volume": 136,
        "typical_volume": 555.2,
        "trend": 240.976335,
        "fair_value": 189.433911,
        "relative_strength": -7.59738,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "relative_strength": -7.374575,
        "stage": 2,
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        "energy": 71.071362,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 267.600006,
        "volume": 90,
        "typical_volume": 508.85,
        "trend": 244.476669,
        "fair_value": 191.0754,
        "relative_strength": -8.011405,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.787884,
        "energy": 53.599596,
        "activity_lines": [
          269.326666,
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          249.799931
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 284.100006,
        "volume": 4,
        "typical_volume": 500.7,
        "trend": 246.306531,
        "fair_value": 192.046398,
        "relative_strength": -4.509765,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.960322,
        "energy": 62.206484,
        "activity_lines": [
          274.233335,
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          258.176428,
          252.356276
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 272.850006,
        "volume": 853,
        "typical_volume": 495.3,
        "trend": 247.637348,
        "fair_value": 192.89685,
        "relative_strength": -6.87939,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.155828,
        "energy": 55.018609,
        "activity_lines": [
          274.550004,
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          260.560476,
          254.068758
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 264.25,
        "volume": 1698,
        "typical_volume": 569.6,
        "trend": 248.68966,
        "fair_value": 193.686329,
        "relative_strength": -7.829755,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.098259,
        "energy": 44.832754,
        "activity_lines": [
          271.703337,
          270.994547,
          261.993809,
          255.140542
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 272.049988,
        "volume": 856,
        "typical_volume": 556.4,
        "trend": 249.990546,
        "fair_value": 194.510539,
        "relative_strength": -6.183355,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.793217,
        "energy": 43.857001,
        "activity_lines": [
          271.439998,
          271.396363,
          264.091427,
          256.64766
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 283.600006,
        "volume": 402,
        "typical_volume": 553.55,
        "trend": 251.575239,
        "fair_value": 195.440399,
        "relative_strength": -2.08912,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.616152,
        "energy": 47.429134,
        "activity_lines": [
          275.25,
          273.689091,
          267.059999,
          258.816012
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 280.700012,
        "volume": 1422,
        "typical_volume": 605.45,
        "trend": 252.622582,
        "fair_value": 196.416442,
        "relative_strength": -5.684396,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.650364,
        "energy": 46.616599,
        "activity_lines": [
          277.02667,
          275.20273,
          269.44881,
          260.69503
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}