{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1e3673c5-399a-4c34-9a5c-d0350151a2c3", "symbol": "DTI", "name": "Drilling Tools International Corp.", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -47.25, "architecture_energy": 45.657, "architecture_maturity": 65.299, "architecture_confidence": 94.386, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 27.93, "rotation_up": 27.64, "upward_expansion": 20.87, "deceleration": 42.08, "rotation_down": 35.83, "downward_expansion": 66.2 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.300667, 2.267455, 2.509952, 2.778452 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 2.28, "trend_reference": 3.111333, "distance_from_trend": -0.267195, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.331616, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.315647, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -28.60952, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.403141, "excess_performance": -0.590595, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.267195, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.019847, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.315647, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.181288, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.286095, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.168208, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.403141, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.772566, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1614175, "relative_activity": 0.879281, "balance": 0.772566, "dry_up": 0.617437, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.117874, "annualized_volatility": 0.661127, "from_high_reference": -0.513859, "from_low_reference": 0.381818 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.111333, "fair_value_reference": 3.331616, "structural_low": 1.87, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.085655, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.061163, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.356383, "worst_return": -0.287879, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.082524, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.054536, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.203125, "worst_return": -0.174194, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.419104, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.330584, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.84466, "worst_return": -0.006452, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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2.281818, 2.56681, 2.833226 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.28, "volume": 1614175, "typical_volume": 1835790.6, "trend": 3.111333, "fair_value": 3.331616, "relative_strength": -28.60952, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.249535, "energy": 45.656593, "activity_lines": [ 2.300667, 2.267455, 2.509952, 2.778452 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }