{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1e4536d8-096c-43e2-8daa-544eea4c5c59", "symbol": "603288", "name": "Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 55.134, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 1.586, "architecture_energy": 20.253, "architecture_maturity": 31.582, "architecture_confidence": 69.625, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 62.8, "rotation_up": 52.93, "upward_expansion": 29.1, "deceleration": 43.97, "rotation_down": 12.18, "downward_expansion": 20.77 }, "activity_lines": [ 36.608665, 35.514431, 35.559583, 36.095419 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 36.419998, "trend_reference": 36.518324, "distance_from_trend": -0.002693, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 37.840673, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.037544, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -1.648965, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.039947, "excess_performance": 0.083151, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.002693, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.020703, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.037544, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.004054, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.01649, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.10082, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.039947, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.757468, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 95887102, "relative_activity": 1.216486, "balance": 0.757468, "dry_up": 1.448441, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.059134, "annualized_volatility": 0.288625, "from_high_reference": -0.14205, "from_low_reference": 0.123727 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 36.518324, "fair_value_reference": 37.840673, "structural_low": 32.41, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": -0.029399, "positive_rate": 0.388889, "directional_follow_through": 0.388889, "median_excess_return": -0.021496, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.357284, "worst_return": -0.157208, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.080974, "positive_rate": 0.111111, "directional_follow_through": 0.111111, "median_excess_return": -0.088909, "regime_survival": 0.111111, "best_return": 0.310792, "worst_return": -0.25514, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.062777, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": -0.065345, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.180271, 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"active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.040659, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2025-10-31", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.056241, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-11-07", "end": "2026-03-06", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.017253, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-03-13", "end": "2026-03-27", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.050542, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-04-03", "end": "2026-04-17", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.063548, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-04-24", 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"2026-07-31", "close": 38.439999, "volume": 108129390, "typical_volume": 79769664.15, "trend": 36.528572, "fair_value": 37.87958, "relative_strength": 6.441929, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -0.320507, "energy": 18.216473, "activity_lines": [ 36.336666, 35.193431, 35.570839, 36.102424 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 36.419998, "volume": 95887102, "typical_volume": 78823012.55, "trend": 36.518324, "fair_value": 37.840673, "relative_strength": -1.648965, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 1.585808, "energy": 20.253046, "activity_lines": [ 36.608665, 35.514431, 35.559583, 36.095419 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }