{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1e48e865-9355-4c95-899d-8eee80bb6b0d", "symbol": "300892", "name": "Pinlive Foods Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -47.107, "architecture_energy": 37.667, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 86.798, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.48, "rotation_up": 27.13, "upward_expansion": 17.81, "deceleration": 47.0, "rotation_down": 39.38, "downward_expansion": 67.81 }, "activity_lines": [ 20.887333, 20.502182, 22.112735, 23.773302 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 22.33, "trend_reference": 26.171804, "distance_from_trend": -0.146792, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 26.954117, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.171555, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -28.066006, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.291561, "excess_performance": -0.298961, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.146792, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.138815, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.171555, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.212106, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.28066, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.028053, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.291561, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.301622, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 27374862, "relative_activity": 2.752345, "balance": 1.301622, "dry_up": 2.452412, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.109324, "annualized_volatility": 0.41203, "from_high_reference": -0.46681, "from_low_reference": 0.256612 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 26.171804, "fair_value_reference": 26.954117, "structural_low": 17.77, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": -0.034858, "positive_rate": 0.461538, "directional_follow_through": 0.538462, "median_excess_return": -0.024345, "regime_survival": 0.884615, "best_return": 0.280382, "worst_return": -0.289381, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.067535, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.054626, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.194643, "worst_return": -0.314602, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.163496, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.093462, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.141071, "worst_return": -0.363517, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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23.670766, 25.438198 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 19.82, "volume": 10467883, "typical_volume": 6709425.85, "trend": 27.281471, "fair_value": 27.012981, "relative_strength": -35.983138, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.685118, "energy": 69.946477, "activity_lines": [ 19.714, 20.724804, 23.129365, 24.930985 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 18.15, "volume": 13931126, "typical_volume": 6928804.8, "trend": 26.762804, "fair_value": 26.982467, "relative_strength": -40.752373, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.864057, "energy": 69.820857, "activity_lines": [ 19.158, 20.046484, 22.485251, 24.341858 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 22.059999, "volume": 45793041, "typical_volume": 8904763.5, "trend": 26.439804, "fair_value": 26.977912, "relative_strength": -26.072892, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.320177, "energy": 53.37159, "activity_lines": [ 20.072, 20.224123, 22.27004, 24.038451 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 22.33, "volume": 27374862, "typical_volume": 9946014.5, "trend": 26.171804, "fair_value": 26.954117, "relative_strength": -28.066006, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.106892, "energy": 37.667027, "activity_lines": [ 20.887333, 20.502182, 22.112735, 23.773302 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }