{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1e63dba0-0742-4937-b0a3-6b445970f5aa", "symbol": "SRES", "name": "Sunrise Resources plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -54.891, "architecture_energy": 35.7, "architecture_maturity": 56.772, "architecture_confidence": 87.924, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.83, "rotation_up": 23.79, "upward_expansion": 4.41, "deceleration": 58.74, "rotation_down": 47.36, "downward_expansion": 77.74 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.000169, 0.000171, 0.000192, 0.000216 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.0002, "trend_reference": 0.000245, "distance_from_trend": -0.182561, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.000383, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.477737, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -26.776244, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.393939, "excess_performance": -0.445175, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.182561, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.101591, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.477737, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.005111, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.267762, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.165685, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.393939, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.661297, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 381154459, "relative_activity": 4.035175, "balance": 0.661297, "dry_up": 3.332587, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.288462, "annualized_volatility": 0.875439, "from_high_reference": -0.545455, "from_low_reference": 0.666667 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.000245, "fair_value_reference": 0.000383, "structural_low": 0.00012, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 38, "median_return": -0.035385, "positive_rate": 0.289474, "directional_follow_through": 0.526316, "median_excess_return": -0.036219, "regime_survival": 0.894737, "best_return": 0.357143, "worst_return": -0.340909, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.066667, "positive_rate": 0.384615, "directional_follow_through": 0.615385, "median_excess_return": -0.087636, "regime_survival": 0.692308, "best_return": 0.52381, "worst_return": -0.428571, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.046299, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.5625, "worst_return": -0.627907, 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"stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.862872, "energy": 65.055961, "activity_lines": [ 0.000173, 0.00019, 0.000217, 0.000238 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.00014, "volume": 88143008, "typical_volume": 47944936.55, "trend": 0.000252, "fair_value": 0.000397, "relative_strength": -48.049899, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.660474, "energy": 64.736778, "activity_lines": [ 0.000161, 0.000179, 0.000207, 0.000231 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.00018, "volume": 166462919, "typical_volume": 51193784.05, "trend": 0.00025, "fair_value": 0.000393, "relative_strength": -33.793271, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.666624, "energy": 45.899499, "activity_lines": [ 0.000165, 0.000176, 0.000202, 0.000226 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.00014, "volume": 623397375, "typical_volume": 79062566.6, "trend": 0.000246, "fair_value": 0.000388, "relative_strength": -48.817171, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.303502, "energy": 49.342045, "activity_lines": [ 0.000156, 0.000167, 0.000194, 0.000219 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.0002, "volume": 381154459, "typical_volume": 94457973.75, "trend": 0.000245, "fair_value": 0.000383, "relative_strength": -26.776244, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.891468, "energy": 35.699566, "activity_lines": [ 0.000169, 0.000171, 0.000192, 0.000216 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }