{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1e6a4926-cde2-4048-aeda-9670f077c80a", "symbol": "HFND", "name": "UNLIMITED HFND MULTI-STRATEGY RETURN TRACKER ETF", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 62.907, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 50.359, "architecture_energy": 25.293, "architecture_maturity": 38.639, "architecture_confidence": 75.625, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.64, "rotation_up": 34.75, "upward_expansion": 56.62, "deceleration": 87.48, "rotation_down": 24.87, "downward_expansion": 17.96 }, "activity_lines": [ 24.373333, 24.378615, 24.305721, 24.141388 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 24.629, "trend_reference": 23.934697, "distance_from_trend": 0.029008, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 21.051443, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.169944, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -5.804102, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.040515, "excess_performance": -0.085109, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.029008, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.024426, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.169944, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.013651, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.058041, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.022292, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.040515, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.782302, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 20709, "relative_activity": 0.402376, "balance": 0.782302, "dry_up": 1.270767, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.017773, "annualized_volatility": 0.078207, "from_high_reference": -0.007295, "from_low_reference": 0.157202 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 23.934697, "fair_value_reference": 21.051443, "structural_low": 22.85, 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"stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.162349, "energy": 44.583976, "activity_lines": [ 24.410373, 24.329373, 24.084453, 23.902192 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 24.4, "volume": 46552, "typical_volume": 53105.3, "trend": 23.660199, "fair_value": 20.875273, "relative_strength": -3.608293, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.297737, "energy": 48.423141, "activity_lines": [ 24.418587, 24.3537, 24.13122, 23.953633 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 24.505, "volume": 23442, "typical_volume": 48698.2, "trend": 23.72698, "fair_value": 20.911257, "relative_strength": -4.396336, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.722733, "energy": 48.764444, "activity_lines": [ 24.460467, 24.391211, 24.185083, 24.008137 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 24.225, "volume": 43111, "typical_volume": 49162.5, "trend": 23.78317, "fair_value": 20.945313, "relative_strength": -3.912546, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.871531, "energy": 33.215392, "activity_lines": [ 24.379907, 24.370451, 24.20966, 24.040267 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 24.22, "volume": 132589, "typical_volume": 54607.95, "trend": 23.82639, "fair_value": 20.978533, "relative_strength": -3.296297, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.073416, "energy": 24.244755, "activity_lines": [ 24.310013, 24.35114, 24.232188, 24.068449 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 24.21, "volume": 65200, "typical_volume": 56703.0, "trend": 23.882063, "fair_value": 21.01328, "relative_strength": -4.276894, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.335624, "energy": 18.579218, "activity_lines": [ 24.267667, 24.326738, 24.251145, 24.093198 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 24.629, "volume": 20709, "typical_volume": 51466.75, "trend": 23.934697, "fair_value": 21.051443, "relative_strength": -5.804102, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.358803, "energy": 25.292588, "activity_lines": [ 24.373333, 24.378615, 24.305721, 24.141388 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }