{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1e85d0f9-5d89-40c4-99c9-b7b0a1513508", "symbol": "5262", "name": "Gigastone Corporation", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 60.719, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -43.364, "architecture_energy": 28.753, "architecture_maturity": 17.297, "architecture_confidence": 69.422, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.42, "rotation_up": 22.36, "upward_expansion": 14.64, "deceleration": 58.94, "rotation_down": 41.39, "downward_expansion": 64.64 }, "activity_lines": [ 43.933334, 43.747928, 45.866872, 47.289403 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 45.150002, "trend_reference": 47.488853, "distance_from_trend": -0.049251, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 38.298154, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.178908, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -17.777181, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.099843, "excess_performance": -0.34153, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.049251, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.077243, "read": "Rising" 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37.900002, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": -0.004967, "positive_rate": 0.388889, "directional_follow_through": 0.611111, "median_excess_return": -0.020843, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.253061, "worst_return": -0.268608, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.03084, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": 0.019058, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.164949, "worst_return": -0.286853, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.101301, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.054764, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.231959, "worst_return": -0.263944, 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"typical_volume": 1281925.8, "trend": 47.039142, "fair_value": 37.912998, "relative_strength": -22.742549, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -42.675584, "energy": 52.490951, "activity_lines": [ 41.809999, 43.220339, 46.422281, 47.439188 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 46.900002, "volume": 838455, "typical_volume": 1044860.0, "trend": 47.332542, "fair_value": 38.112588, "relative_strength": -11.729382, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -30.6185, "energy": 35.273126, "activity_lines": [ 43.25, 43.607794, 46.190972, 47.430212 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 45.150002, "volume": 552467, "typical_volume": 959250.45, "trend": 47.488853, "fair_value": 38.298154, "relative_strength": -17.777181, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.363578, "energy": 28.753121, "activity_lines": [ 43.933334, 43.747928, 45.866872, 47.289403 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }