{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1e86fc7f-7abc-429f-a927-b911071a1c3f", "symbol": "6523", "name": "Dr. Wu Skincare Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -67.032, "architecture_energy": 65.309, "architecture_maturity": 82.983, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.26, "rotation_up": 28.61, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 60.02, "rotation_down": 55.63, "downward_expansion": 85.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 90.246666, 91.028237, 93.496083, 97.210619 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 90.099998, "trend_reference": 102.20632, "distance_from_trend": -0.11845, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 121.324847, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.257366, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -41.155864, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.193482, "excess_performance": -0.634854, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.11845, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.066218, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.257366, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.048533, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.411559, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.025642, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.193482, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.285276, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 162110, "relative_activity": 0.701741, "balance": 0.285276, "dry_up": 0.532266, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.028587, "annualized_volatility": 0.157347, "from_high_reference": -0.236178, "from_low_reference": 0.01236 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 102.20632, "fair_value_reference": 121.324847, "structural_low": 89.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": -0.007498, "positive_rate": 0.45, "directional_follow_through": 0.55, "median_excess_return": -0.032098, "regime_survival": 0.85, "best_return": 0.221001, "worst_return": -0.110245, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.039472, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.128595, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.107103, "worst_return": -0.124721, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.035064, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.200387, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.060548, "worst_return": -0.128202, "sufficient": false }, { 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234348.8, "trend": 105.366596, "fair_value": 121.805457, "relative_strength": -41.193877, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -84.772375, "energy": 87.353022, "activity_lines": [ 91.709659, 93.564601, 97.041423, 100.78746 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 90.099998, "volume": 77537, "typical_volume": 230164.55, "trend": 104.533745, "fair_value": 121.70481, "relative_strength": -41.230571, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.132497, "energy": 85.593037, "activity_lines": [ 90.808026, 92.72, 95.972305, 99.802518 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 90.599998, "volume": 106154, "typical_volume": 229014.35, "trend": 103.765715, "fair_value": 121.576187, "relative_strength": -39.177158, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.045922, "energy": 82.037818, "activity_lines": [ 90.453332, 92.086048, 95.060612, 98.903566 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 90.400002, "volume": 146036, "typical_volume": 228461.0, "trend": 102.974967, "fair_value": 121.438486, "relative_strength": -39.842132, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.443822, "energy": 75.802953, "activity_lines": [ 90.326666, 91.531725, 94.237298, 98.041262 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 90.099998, "volume": 162110, "typical_volume": 231011.0, "trend": 102.20632, "fair_value": 121.324847, "relative_strength": -41.155864, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.032065, "energy": 65.308719, "activity_lines": [ 90.246666, 91.028237, 93.496083, 97.210619 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }