{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "1e8b2a87-81e2-46d1-98f7-975c254868ae",
    "symbol": "HLAL",
    "name": "WAHED FTSE USA SHARIAH ETF",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 69.595,
    "architecture_energy": 42.081,
    "architecture_maturity": 48.346,
    "architecture_confidence": 57.009,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 32.9,
        "rotation_up": 40.94,
        "upward_expansion": 69.79,
        "deceleration": 72.56,
        "rotation_down": 27.77,
        "downward_expansion": 10.13
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        71.129307,
        70.870785,
        70.274869,
        68.499874
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 73.14,
    "trend_reference": 66.383346,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.101782,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 53.54071,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.366063,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 0.888204,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.158243,
    "excess_performance": -0.02921,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.101782,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.047733,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.366063,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.002737,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.008882,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.022971,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.158243,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.183414,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 291567,
      "relative_activity": 1.011565,
      "balance": 2.183414,
      "dry_up": 0.87212,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.034856,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.179174,
      "from_high_reference": -0.009076,
      "from_low_reference": 0.325907
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 66.383346,
      "fair_value_reference": 53.54071,
      "structural_low": 57.22,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": 0.026121,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.003354,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.067298,
        "worst_return": -0.014218,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.080165,
        "positive_rate": 0.857143,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.857143,
        "median_excess_return": -0.0317,
        "regime_survival": 0.142857,
        "best_return": 0.14915,
        "worst_return": -0.151373,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.10332,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.058178,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.159704,
        "worst_return": 0.01211,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.023903,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.079186,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.285818,
        "worst_return": -0.111814,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-10-04",
        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.011572,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-01-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.007078,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-02-07",
        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.014178,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-03-07",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.039017,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.105555,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.090496,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-30",
        "end": "2025-06-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.017029,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-06-20",
        "end": "2025-07-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.064278,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-08-01",
        "end": "2026-03-06",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.134512,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-03-13",
        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.014019,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.072699,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "return": 0.011629,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "return": 0.041302,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": true
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    ],
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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        "typical_volume": 309131.15,
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        "stage": 2,
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 319312.8,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "trend": 63.704798,
        "fair_value": 51.887061,
        "relative_strength": 0.217341,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "relative_strength": -1.772814,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "fair_value": 52.442196,
        "relative_strength": -1.953523,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.643877,
        "energy": 48.921816,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 70.3,
        "volume": 308901,
        "typical_volume": 293889.55,
        "trend": 64.939432,
        "fair_value": 52.626329,
        "relative_strength": -1.252027,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "energy": 40.998163,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 294456.65,
        "trend": 65.27219,
        "fair_value": 52.815469,
        "relative_strength": -0.63393,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.336748,
        "energy": 45.664935,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 70.3422,
        "volume": 224310,
        "typical_volume": 294087.8,
        "trend": 65.545858,
        "fair_value": 52.993126,
        "relative_strength": 1.137303,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 45.641183,
        "energy": 36.460197,
        "activity_lines": [
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          67.512358
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 69.6367,
        "volume": 209820,
        "typical_volume": 283234.2,
        "trend": 65.780811,
        "fair_value": 53.161595,
        "relative_strength": 1.660333,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 44.18525,
        "energy": 34.090234,
        "activity_lines": [
          70.365173,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 69.9,
        "volume": 279800,
        "typical_volume": 283813.05,
        "trend": 66.04354,
        "fair_value": 53.340516,
        "relative_strength": 1.406146,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 40.72379,
        "energy": 30.085634,
        "activity_lines": [
          70.230907,
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          68.042038
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 73.14,
        "volume": 291567,
        "typical_volume": 288233.65,
        "trend": 66.383346,
        "fair_value": 53.54071,
        "relative_strength": 0.888204,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.595489,
        "energy": 42.080919,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}