{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "1e90353f-cd0e-4b31-98da-e2d7dabbf918",
    "symbol": "LAU",
    "name": "Lindsay Australia Limited",
    "exchange": "ASX",
    "country": "AU",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-10-09",
    "benchmark": "^AXJO",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 64.487,
    "architecture_energy": 54.367,
    "architecture_maturity": 68.301,
    "architecture_confidence": 86.491,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 5.41,
        "rotation_up": 54.22,
        "upward_expansion": 85.22,
        "deceleration": 65.76,
        "rotation_down": 27.29,
        "downward_expansion": 9.55
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.728594,
        0.723855,
        0.694348,
        0.668818
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 0.73,
    "trend_reference": 0.64142,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.1381,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.74703,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.022797,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 15.287351,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.186992,
    "excess_performance": 0.214222,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.1381,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.032725,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.022797,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.162374,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.152874,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.153472,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.186992,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.093962,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1088335,
      "relative_activity": 0.828317,
      "balance": 1.093962,
      "dry_up": 1.330191,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.046766,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.291657,
      "from_high_reference": -0.036218,
      "from_low_reference": 0.351852
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.64142,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.74703,
      "structural_low": 0.54,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 22,
        "median_return": 0.013074,
        "positive_rate": 0.545455,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.545455,
        "median_excess_return": 0.00814,
        "regime_survival": 0.772727,
        "best_return": 0.340356,
        "worst_return": -0.145985,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.055074,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.080551,
        "regime_survival": 0.375,
        "best_return": 0.914207,
        "worst_return": -0.135037,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.445006,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.432763,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.575736,
        "worst_return": 0.040376,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.22611,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.305235,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 1.998232,
        "worst_return": -0.307634,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-05-03",
        "end": "2024-09-13",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.021277,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-09-20",
        "end": "2025-02-14",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "return": 0.061111,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-07-25",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.083333,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "violet",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.102942,
        "active": false
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      {
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": true
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-09-25",
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        "typical_volume": 1280829.35,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-10-02",
        "close": 0.73,
        "volume": 2350963,
        "typical_volume": 1353954.95,
        "trend": 0.637197,
        "fair_value": 0.748539,
        "relative_strength": 16.216947,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 66.647213,
        "energy": 58.584736,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-10-09",
        "close": 0.73,
        "volume": 1088335,
        "typical_volume": 1313910.55,
        "trend": 0.64142,
        "fair_value": 0.74703,
        "relative_strength": 15.287351,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 64.486895,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}