{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "1e934e24-8789-4ccb-a436-b50cb1ca32ab",
    "symbol": "GURU",
    "name": "GLOBAL X FDS GLOBAL X HEDGE FD TOP EQ HLDGS IDX ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 87.543,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 62.166,
    "architecture_energy": 39.514,
    "architecture_maturity": 37.001,
    "architecture_confidence": 69.906,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 25.3,
        "rotation_up": 41.56,
        "upward_expansion": 66.99,
        "deceleration": 80.46,
        "rotation_down": 26.91,
        "downward_expansion": 16.99
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        68.19322,
        68.214184,
        67.246998,
        65.810775
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 69.7256,
    "trend_reference": 64.174747,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.086496,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 51.048143,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.365879,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -0.787735,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.128809,
    "excess_performance": 0.003184,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.086496,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.028733,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.365879,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.021278,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.007877,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.011071,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.128809,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.817781,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 6408,
      "relative_activity": 1.011595,
      "balance": 1.817781,
      "dry_up": 0.908904,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.028986,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.182074,
      "from_high_reference": -0.005908,
      "from_low_reference": 0.272073
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 64.174747,
      "fair_value_reference": 51.048143,
      "structural_low": 56.9594,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": -0.018987,
        "positive_rate": 0.3,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.3,
        "median_excess_return": -0.005406,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.046792,
        "worst_return": -0.068688,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.027942,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.01078,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.097163,
        "worst_return": -0.131047,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.121718,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.003347,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.163719,
        "worst_return": 0.074098,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.206892,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.004842,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.260255,
        "worst_return": 0.153528,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-24",
        "end": "2024-12-27",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.175543,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
        "end": "2025-01-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.041718,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-02-07",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.080772,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.015099,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.031824,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.10714,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-05-30",
        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.052707,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-11",
        "end": "2026-01-16",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.143834,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-03-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.053254,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-03-20",
        "end": "2026-04-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.034021,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-04-10",
        "end": "2026-04-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "return": -0.017975,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
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        "volume": 9812,
        "typical_volume": 8089.65,
        "trend": 61.470245,
        "fair_value": 48.076351,
        "relative_strength": -0.785558,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 29.833365,
        "energy": 33.722304,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 8352.75,
        "trend": 61.624269,
        "fair_value": 48.26969,
        "relative_strength": -0.315161,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
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        "direction": 52.09448,
        "energy": 43.715412,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "volume": 7672,
        "typical_volume": 8222.15,
        "trend": 61.854015,
        "fair_value": 48.469681,
        "relative_strength": -1.894883,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.501216,
        "energy": 58.898794,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 64.4433,
        "volume": 6053,
        "typical_volume": 8311.8,
        "trend": 62.005143,
        "fair_value": 48.661122,
        "relative_strength": -3.177427,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.709178,
        "energy": 53.751576,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 4778,
        "typical_volume": 8140.4,
        "trend": 62.173287,
        "fair_value": 48.864672,
        "relative_strength": -1.612328,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.706913,
        "energy": 50.853331,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 67.6338,
        "volume": 5687,
        "typical_volume": 7914.7,
        "trend": 62.382294,
        "fair_value": 49.072836,
        "relative_strength": -0.729162,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.794596,
        "energy": 57.818015,
        "activity_lines": [
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          63.174172,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 65.3571,
        "volume": 8367,
        "typical_volume": 7995.3,
        "trend": 62.524147,
        "fair_value": 49.264563,
        "relative_strength": -1.597808,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.887342,
        "energy": 42.323992,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 66.8809,
        "volume": 7071,
        "typical_volume": 7673.9,
        "trend": 62.718118,
        "fair_value": 49.460301,
        "relative_strength": 0.073415,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.258967,
        "energy": 48.932208,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 68.1063,
        "volume": 3106,
        "typical_volume": 7103.95,
        "trend": 62.980653,
        "fair_value": 49.667548,
        "relative_strength": 0.906913,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.06475,
        "energy": 56.442551,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 68.748,
        "volume": 4191,
        "typical_volume": 6752.45,
        "trend": 63.158451,
        "fair_value": 49.87189,
        "relative_strength": 4.199061,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.356546,
        "energy": 53.767763,
        "activity_lines": [
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          64.942248,
          63.96343
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 69.1305,
        "volume": 6701,
        "typical_volume": 6652.5,
        "trend": 63.342418,
        "fair_value": 50.079722,
        "relative_strength": 2.44542,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.723372,
        "energy": 64.188084,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 69.5684,
        "volume": 3912,
        "typical_volume": 6541.7,
        "trend": 63.546668,
        "fair_value": 50.28293,
        "relative_strength": 1.614354,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.054112,
        "energy": 71.124706,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 67.6453,
        "volume": 4266,
        "typical_volume": 6539.3,
        "trend": 63.688729,
        "fair_value": 50.472117,
        "relative_strength": 0.296241,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.418592,
        "energy": 61.591163,
        "activity_lines": [
          68.632927,
          68.01416,
          66.369324,
          65.014828
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 66.6711,
        "volume": 7184,
        "typical_volume": 6441.8,
        "trend": 63.778013,
        "fair_value": 50.654934,
        "relative_strength": -0.625343,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.15989,
        "energy": 48.191895,
        "activity_lines": [
          67.976727,
          67.889433,
          66.578824,
          65.207239
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 67.3495,
        "volume": 5172,
        "typical_volume": 6249.0,
        "trend": 63.942283,
        "fair_value": 50.843777,
        "relative_strength": -0.743864,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 46.520464,
        "energy": 37.398052,
        "activity_lines": [
          67.64234,
          67.847545,
          66.820249,
          65.437658
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 69.7256,
        "volume": 6408,
        "typical_volume": 6334.55,
        "trend": 64.174747,
        "fair_value": 51.048143,
        "relative_strength": -0.787735,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.165846,
        "energy": 39.514272,
        "activity_lines": [
          68.19322,
          68.214184,
          67.246998,
          65.810775
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}