{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "1eb4f882-5ee4-4a1c-b35a-a9ebb6b377e0",
    "symbol": "RILYL",
    "name": "BRC Group Holdings, Inc.",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 0.796,
    "architecture_energy": 19.505,
    "architecture_maturity": 46.663,
    "architecture_confidence": 75.665,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 59.91,
        "rotation_up": 14.45,
        "upward_expansion": 42.65,
        "deceleration": 83.59,
        "rotation_down": 43.6,
        "downward_expansion": 36.65
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        13.675347,
        14.176945,
        14.666144,
        14.056233
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 13.6,
    "trend_reference": 13.183927,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.031559,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 11.577382,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.174704,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 21.002378,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.341223,
    "excess_performance": 0.153769,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.031559,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.322161,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.174704,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.104827,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.210024,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.589353,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.341223,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.144793,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 32600,
      "relative_activity": 0.640795,
      "balance": 1.144793,
      "dry_up": 0.632692,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.095859,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.549777,
      "from_high_reference": -0.247788,
      "from_low_reference": 3.401294
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 13.183927,
      "fair_value_reference": 11.577382,
      "structural_low": 9.5,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.080986,
        "positive_rate": 0.2,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
        "median_excess_return": -0.089149,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.064159,
        "worst_return": -0.331418,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.476106,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.300347,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 1.227113,
        "worst_return": -0.199608,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.538453,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.373439,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 1.112676,
        "worst_return": -0.035771,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.549297,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.993539,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.549297,
        "worst_return": -0.549297,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-03-01",
        "end": "2024-04-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.214727,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-05-03",
        "end": "2024-05-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.01382,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-31",
        "end": "2024-08-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.019007,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-08-16",
        "end": "2024-08-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.259797,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-09-06",
        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.746921,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-07-11",
        "end": "2025-08-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.587983,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-08-22",
        "end": "2025-10-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.126964,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-10-17",
        "end": "2025-11-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.207746,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-12-05",
        "end": "2026-01-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.269048,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2026-01-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.619718,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-02-27",
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        "return": -0.201843,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "return": -0.012389,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "return": -0.054899,
        "active": true
      }
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        "typical_volume": 132339.85,
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        "fair_value": 11.969579,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 57566.65,
        "trend": 11.45942,
        "fair_value": 11.833622,
        "relative_strength": 39.881866,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "direction": 50.844809,
        "energy": 43.339954,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 19175,
        "typical_volume": 56220.7,
        "trend": 11.794757,
        "fair_value": 11.795529,
        "relative_strength": 36.168875,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "energy": 31.389946,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 14.39,
        "volume": 18606,
        "typical_volume": 54844.25,
        "trend": 12.15809,
        "fair_value": 11.755552,
        "relative_strength": 32.981293,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 36.678622,
        "energy": 24.839111,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.789567,
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          14.781473,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 14.2301,
        "volume": 29945,
        "typical_volume": 54239.7,
        "trend": 12.44626,
        "fair_value": 11.712782,
        "relative_strength": 35.572121,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 28.54381,
        "energy": 27.35861,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.451747,
          15.205922,
          14.828589,
          13.897853
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 13.8,
        "volume": 15161,
        "typical_volume": 51700.4,
        "trend": 12.727927,
        "fair_value": 11.66882,
        "relative_strength": 32.078445,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 20.664617,
        "energy": 21.639106,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.121887,
          14.861778,
          14.812361,
          13.985191
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 13.22,
        "volume": 51045,
        "typical_volume": 51757.85,
        "trend": 12.990927,
        "fair_value": 11.621702,
        "relative_strength": 24.721812,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -3.08746,
        "energy": 18.366317,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.802027,
          14.44618,
          14.728991,
          14.016938
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 13.6,
        "volume": 32600,
        "typical_volume": 50874.3,
        "trend": 13.183927,
        "fair_value": 11.577382,
        "relative_strength": 21.002378,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 0.795679,
        "energy": 19.504955,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.675347,
          14.176945,
          14.666144,
          14.056233
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}