{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1eb7ade5-3de9-4a20-8a44-755b1e1d650e", "symbol": "O1KE34", "name": "ONEOK, Inc.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 13.612, "architecture_energy": 9.294, "architecture_maturity": 19.983, "architecture_confidence": 63.789, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 59.18, "rotation_up": 41.2, "upward_expansion": 67.73, "deceleration": 54.85, "rotation_down": 21.16, "downward_expansion": 11.06 }, "activity_lines": [ 225.734736, 225.176066, 225.469584, 225.128417 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 218.0, "trend_reference": 222.23263, "distance_from_trend": -0.019046, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 210.232947, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.036945, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 1.108119, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.089671, "excess_performance": 0.146719, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.019046, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.055717, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.036945, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.058847, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.011081, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.103016, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.089671, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 10.122047, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 168, "relative_activity": 1.111111, "balance": 10.122047, "dry_up": 0.479497, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.038549, "annualized_volatility": 0.324892, "from_high_reference": -0.114217, "from_low_reference": 0.275028 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 222.23263, "fair_value_reference": 210.232947, "structural_low": 207.03966, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.016733, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.05575, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.097475, "worst_return": -0.096486, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.023041, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.088251, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.110266, "worst_return": -0.156348, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.003826, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.060485, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.046838, "worst_return": -0.054489, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2023-12-01", "end": "2023-12-08", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.076162, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2023-12-15", "end": "2025-02-07", "tenure": "Extended", "return": 0.655731, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-02-14", "end": "2025-03-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.075017, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-03-14", "end": "2025-04-18", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.104789, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-25", "end": "2025-12-26", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.157515, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-01-02", "end": "2026-02-13", 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208.080013, "relative_strength": 1.710263, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 23.980624, "energy": 17.340375, "activity_lines": [ 223.448311, 224.957945, 225.450177, 223.451192 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 228.128326, "volume": 4, "typical_volume": 184.95, "trend": 219.517322, "fair_value": 208.660224, "relative_strength": 3.721031, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 25.010397, "energy": 12.244749, "activity_lines": [ 224.681323, 225.345887, 225.68018, 224.079244 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 231.06398, "volume": 56, "typical_volume": 187.45, "trend": 220.699371, "fair_value": 209.224501, "relative_strength": 5.356474, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.191757, "energy": 30.917892, "activity_lines": [ 227.484331, 226.154341, 226.115972, 224.82419 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 229.100266, "volume": 62, "typical_volume": 158.6, "trend": 221.685372, "fair_value": 209.762006, "relative_strength": 2.629352, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.284288, "energy": 35.099693, "activity_lines": [ 228.830502, 226.628776, 226.333147, 225.366183 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 218.0, "volume": 168, "typical_volume": 151.2, "trend": 222.23263, "fair_value": 210.232947, "relative_strength": 1.108119, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 13.612169, "energy": 9.294343, "activity_lines": [ 225.734736, 225.176066, 225.469584, 225.128417 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }